Stock Analysis

Market Cool On NRG Energy, Inc.'s (NYSE:NRG) Revenues

NYSE:NRG
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When you see that almost half of the companies in the Electric Utilities industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.8x, NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG) looks to be giving off some buy signals with its 0.4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for NRG Energy

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:NRG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 5th 2024

What Does NRG Energy's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

NRG Energy hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on NRG Energy.

How Is NRG Energy's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like NRG Energy's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 2.8%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 223% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 2.1% per annum during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 3.4% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it odd that NRG Energy is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What Does NRG Energy's P/S Mean For Investors?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of NRG Energy's revealed that its P/S remains low despite analyst forecasts of revenue growth matching the wider industry. The low P/S could be an indication that the revenue growth estimates are being questioned by the market. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for NRG Energy that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of NRG Energy's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if NRG Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.