NRG Energy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

NRG Energy is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 6.8% and 5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 37.8% in 3 years.

Key information

6.8%

Earnings growth rate

12.2%

EPS growth rate

Electric Utilities earnings growth	9.5%
Revenue growth rate	5.0%
Future return on equity	37.8%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	20 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

NRG Energy: Decent Valuation To Add This Strong Utility Player In Your Portfolio

Sep 04

NRG: Darkhorse AI Energy Play

Aug 27

Is NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG) Expensive For A Reason? A Look At Its Intrinsic Value

Aug 05

It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG)

Jul 15

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG)?

May 22

NRG Energy: Fundamentals Remain Strong, Staying With The Buy Rating Despite Recent Rally

May 16

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From NRG Energy, Inc.'s (NYSE:NRG) 28% Share Price Climb

Mar 20

NRG Energy, Inc. - Changes Within Has Been Quick And Impressive

Feb 14

Health Check: How Prudently Does NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG) Use Debt?

Feb 09

NRG Energy: Well-Positioned For Long-Term Growth

Feb 06

Market Cool On NRG Energy, Inc.'s (NYSE:NRG) Revenues

Jan 05

Lights Still On At NRG Energy, Rated Hold As Earnings Overshadowed By Share Price

Nov 20

NRG Energy: Vivint Now A Major Contributor, Eyeing Further Upsides From Here

Sep 11

NRG: Go Back To The Basics To Deliver Returns

Jul 04

NRG Energy's Analyst Day Underlines Its Commitment To Controversial 'All In' Retail Model

Jun 23

NRG Energy - Seeking Identity

Jun 05

NRG Energy GAAP EPS of $5.17, revenue of $31.54B, reaffirms FY Adjusted EBITDA guidance

Feb 16

NRG Energy dividend declines by 7.3% to $0.35

Jan 20

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:NRG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	32,921	1,400	2,252	2,716	5
12/31/2025	32,253	1,339	2,209	2,582	5
12/31/2024	29,253	1,357	2,114	2,478	6
9/30/2024	28,118	897	1,189	1,595	N/A
6/30/2024	28,841	2,007	1,674	2,130	N/A
3/31/2024	28,530	1,577	1,106	1,644	N/A
12/31/2023	28,823	-256	-843	-221	N/A
9/30/2023	29,871	-1,817	-2,497	-1,860	N/A
6/30/2023	30,435	-2,076	-4,410	-3,857	N/A
3/31/2023	31,369	-1,854	-3,369	-2,914	N/A
12/31/2022	31,543	1,221	-13	360	N/A
9/30/2022	30,734	1,889	86	396	N/A
6/30/2022	28,833	3,440	3,009	3,305	N/A
3/31/2022	26,794	4,005	2,807	3,086	N/A
12/31/2021	26,989	2,187	224	493	N/A
9/30/2021	21,970	2,441	2,035	2,306	N/A
6/30/2021	18,170	1,072	1,260	1,522	N/A
3/31/2021	15,165	307	478	712	N/A
12/31/2020	9,093	510	1,597	1,837	N/A
9/30/2020	9,261	4,144	1,672	1,902	N/A
6/30/2020	9,448	4,269	1,451	1,680	N/A
3/31/2020	9,675	4,144	1,470	1,712	N/A
12/31/2019	9,821	4,117	1,196	1,413	N/A
9/30/2019	9,618	564	988	1,207	N/A
6/30/2019	9,582	455	1,091	1,289	N/A
3/31/2019	9,578	270	667	936	N/A
12/31/2018	9,478	460	1,008	1,377	N/A
9/30/2018	9,314	-788	1,549	1,941	N/A
6/30/2018	9,094	-860	N/A	2,049	N/A
3/31/2018	8,757	-748	N/A	2,027	N/A
12/31/2017	9,074	-1,161	N/A	1,610	N/A
9/30/2017	9,430	-644	N/A	1,083	N/A
6/30/2017	10,111	-700	N/A	1,351	N/A
3/31/2017	10,235	-895	N/A	1,467	N/A
12/31/2016	8,915	-766	N/A	1,908	N/A
9/30/2016	11,339	-6,289	N/A	1,658	N/A
6/30/2016	12,352	-6,365	N/A	1,662	N/A
3/31/2016	13,504	-6,304	N/A	1,603	N/A
12/31/2015	12,328	-6,297	N/A	1,349	N/A
9/30/2015	15,855	-13	N/A	1,788	N/A
6/30/2015	15,990	92	N/A	1,598	N/A
3/31/2015	16,211	11	N/A	1,379	N/A
12/31/2014	15,868	78	N/A	1,510	N/A
9/30/2014	14,471	-291	N/A	1,561	N/A
6/30/2014	13,392	-340	N/A	1,718	N/A
3/31/2014	12,700	-119	N/A	1,785	N/A
12/31/2013	11,295	-395	N/A	1,270	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: NRG's forecast earnings growth (6.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: NRG's earnings (6.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: NRG's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: NRG's revenue (5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: NRG's revenue (5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: NRG's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (37.8%)

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/24 12:01
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

NRG Energy, Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Daniel Ford	Barclays
James Thalacker	BMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Julien Dumoulin-Smith	BofA Global Research

NRG Energy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%, revenue downgraded

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Price target increased by 9.1% to US$93.51

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%

Price target increased by 7.2% to US$78.88

Price target increased by 8.6% to US$73.56

Recent updates

NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG) Doing What It Can To Lift Shares

NRG Energy: Electrifying Growth, But Overvalued

NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%, revenue downgraded

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

NRG Energy: I'm Buying The Growth In Texas And Beyond

Price target increased by 9.1% to US$93.51

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%

Second quarter dividend of US$0.41 announced

NRG Energy, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend on the Common Stock, Payable on November 15, 2024

NRG Energy, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 08, 2024

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG)?

NRG Energy: Decent Valuation To Add This Strong Utility Player In Your Portfolio

NRG: Darkhorse AI Energy Play

New major risk - Financial position

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Gamut Capital Management, L.P. entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Airtron Heating & Air Conditioning, Inc. from NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG) for $500 million.

Is NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG) Expensive For A Reason? A Look At Its Intrinsic Value

NRG Energy, Inc. Appoints Lawrence Coben as Chief Executive Officer

First quarter dividend of US$0.41 announced

NRG Energy, Inc. Announces Quarterly Dividend, Payable on August 15, 2024

NRG Energy, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 08, 2024

It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG)

Price target increased by 7.2% to US$78.88

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG)?

NRG Energy: Fundamentals Remain Strong, Staying With The Buy Rating Despite Recent Rally

Price target increased by 8.6% to US$73.56

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Upcoming dividend of US$0.41 per share

Price target increased by 9.0% to US$67.70

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.41 announced

NRG Energy, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 07, 2024

NRG Energy, Inc. Announces Quarterly Dividend on Common Stock, Payable on May 15, 2024

Price target increased by 10% to US$64.90

NRG Energy, Inc. Announces Leadership Changes

Executive Vice President of Smart Home recently sold US$3.1m worth of stock

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From NRG Energy, Inc.'s (NYSE:NRG) 28% Share Price Climb

Executive Vice President of NRG Home notifies of intention to sell stock

NRG Energy, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Apr 25, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

NRG Energy, Inc. - Changes Within Has Been Quick And Impressive

Health Check: How Prudently Does NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG) Use Debt?

NRG Energy: Well-Positioned For Long-Term Growth

Price target increased by 9.5% to US$53.64

NRG Energy, Inc. Announces Quarterly Dividend, Payable on February 15, 2024

NRG Energy, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 28, 2024

Executive VP of Legal & General Counsel exercised options to buy US$777k worth of stock.

Market Cool On NRG Energy, Inc.'s (NYSE:NRG) Revenues

NRG Energy, Inc. Appoints Gerald Alfred Spencer as Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer of the Company Effective December 4, 2023

NRG Energy, Inc. Announces Management Changes

Lights Still On At NRG Energy, Rated Hold As Earnings Overshadowed By Share Price

Price target increased by 12% to US$46.44

NRG Energy, Inc. Revises Earnings Guidance for the Year 2023

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

NRG Energy, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 02, 2023

Upcoming dividend of US$0.38 per share at 3.7% yield

NRG Energy, Inc. Announces Quarterly Dividend, Payable on November 15, 2023

NRG Energy: Vivint Now A Major Contributor, Eyeing Further Upsides From Here

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$1.26 (vs US$2.17 in 2Q 2022)

NRG Energy, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 08, 2023

Upcoming dividend of US$0.38 per share at 4.0% yield

NRG Energy, Inc. Announces Quarterly Dividend Payable on August 15, 2023

NRG: Go Back To The Basics To Deliver Returns

Elliott Investment Management Issues an Open Letter to NRG Energy

Elliott Investment Management Seeks to Oust NRG Energy's CEO

NRG Energy's Analyst Day Underlines Its Commitment To Controversial 'All In' Retail Model

NRG Energy - Seeking Identity

Constellation Energy Corporation (NasdaqGS:CEG) entered into a definitive agreement to acquire 44% stake in South Texas Project Electric Generating Station from NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG) for approximately $1.8 billion.