Stock Analysis

Broker Revenue Forecasts For New Jersey Resources Corporation (NYSE:NJR) Are Surging Higher

NYSE:NJR
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Shareholders in New Jersey Resources Corporation (NYSE:NJR) may be thrilled to learn that the analysts have just delivered a major upgrade to their near-term forecasts. The revenue forecast for this year has experienced a facelift, with the analysts now much more optimistic on its sales pipeline.

Following the upgrade, the latest consensus from New Jersey Resources' six analysts is for revenues of US$2.4b in 2024, which would reflect a major 23% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Prior to the latest estimates, the analysts were forecasting revenues of US$2.1b in 2024. It looks like there's been a clear increase in optimism around New Jersey Resources, given the nice increase in revenue forecasts.

See our latest analysis for New Jersey Resources

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NYSE:NJR Earnings and Revenue Growth January 25th 2024

We'd point out that there was no major changes to their price target of US$48.00, suggesting the latest estimates were not enough to shift their view on the value of the business.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that New Jersey Resources is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 23% annualised growth until the end of 2024. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 1.9% annual decline over the past five years. Compare this against analyst estimates for the broader industry, which suggest that (in aggregate) industry revenues are expected to grow 5.0% annually. So it looks like New Jersey Resources is expected to grow faster than its competitors, at least for a while.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away from this upgrade is that analysts lifted their revenue estimates for this year. They're also forecasting more rapid revenue growth than the wider market. Given that analysts appear to be expecting substantial improvement in the sales pipeline, now could be the right time to take another look at New Jersey Resources.

Using these estimates as a starting point, we've run a discounted cash flow calculation (DCF) on New Jersey Resources that suggests the company could be somewhat undervalued. You can learn more about our valuation methodology on our platform here.

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if New Jersey Resources might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.