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Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For DTE Energy Company (NYSE:DTE)
There wouldn't be many who think DTE Energy Company's (NYSE:DTE) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.4x is worth a mention when the median P/E in the United States is similar at about 17x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Recent times have been pleasing for DTE Energy as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings will be less resilient moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Check out our latest analysis for DTE Energy
How Is DTE Energy's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like DTE Energy's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 4.6%. EPS has also lifted 27% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 6.0% each year as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 10% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that DTE Energy is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that DTE Energy currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
You need to take note of risks, for example - DTE Energy has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
You might be able to find a better investment than DTE Energy. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:DTE
Proven track record and fair value.