Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Altus Power, Inc. (NYSE:AMPS) With Shares Advancing 25%

NYSE:AMPS
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Altus Power, Inc. (NYSE:AMPS) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 27% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Altus Power's P/E ratio of 17.7x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in the United States is also close to 19x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Altus Power could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Check out our latest analysis for Altus Power

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:AMPS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 14th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Altus Power.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Altus Power would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 58%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 300% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 84% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 15% growth , that's a disappointing outcome.

With this information, we find it concerning that Altus Power is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Altus Power's P/E?

Altus Power's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Altus Power currently trades on a higher than expected P/E for a company whose earnings are forecast to decline. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 5 warning signs for Altus Power (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

You might be able to find a better investment than Altus Power. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.