Central Japan Railway Company

OTCPK:CJPR.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$21.9b

Central Japan Railway Valuation

Is CJPR.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CJPR.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CJPR.F ($21.85) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($18.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CJPR.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CJPR.F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CJPR.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.4x
PEG Ratio4.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CJPR.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CJPR.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.6x
NSC Norfolk Southern
36.9x22.7%US$50.8b
CSX CSX
18.4x5.1%US$64.6b
UNP Union Pacific
22.4x8.1%US$143.4b
JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services
24.8x14.7%US$16.4b
CJPR.F Central Japan Railway
8.9x1.9%US$3.4t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CJPR.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x) compared to the peer average (25.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CJPR.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Transportation Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.6%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.6%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CJPR.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x) compared to the US Transportation industry average (25.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CJPR.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CJPR.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CJPR.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CJPR.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$21.85
US$25.99
+19.0%
11.8%US$30.19US$20.56n/a11
May ’25US$22.26
US$25.74
+15.6%
11.3%US$29.84US$20.95n/a11
Apr ’25US$23.90
US$27.04
+13.1%
11.6%US$31.15US$21.87n/a10
Mar ’25US$24.55
US$26.27
+7.0%
9.8%US$29.86US$21.90n/a9
Feb ’25US$24.70
US$26.70
+8.1%
9.2%US$30.75US$22.55n/a10
Jan ’25US$25.41
US$25.80
+1.5%
8.7%US$28.75US$21.74n/a11
Dec ’24n/a
US$25.50
0%
8.5%US$28.47US$21.53n/a11
Nov ’24US$23.05
US$24.86
+7.9%
10.9%US$28.63US$19.79n/a12
Oct ’24US$24.97
US$25.06
+0.4%
12.3%US$29.25US$18.33n/a12
Sep ’24US$26.27
US$25.45
-3.1%
12.0%US$29.69US$18.61n/a10
Aug ’24US$26.27
US$25.86
-1.6%
11.2%US$29.48US$19.28n/a10
Jul ’24n/a
US$25.06
0%
11.1%US$27.96US$18.08n/a11
Jun ’24US$23.75
US$25.44
+7.1%
11.2%US$29.01US$18.76n/a10
May ’24n/a
US$26.26
0%
10.9%US$29.27US$19.42US$22.2610
Apr ’24n/a
US$26.29
0%
10.8%US$29.53US$19.43US$23.9010
Mar ’24US$22.08
US$25.59
+15.9%
10.4%US$28.77US$18.93US$24.5511
Feb ’24US$24.10
US$27.01
+12.1%
10.9%US$30.66US$19.78US$24.7011
Jan ’24n/a
US$25.38
0%
10.7%US$29.27US$19.02US$25.4112
Dec ’23US$24.72
US$24.59
-0.5%
11.0%US$28.15US$18.30n/a12
Nov ’23US$22.80
US$23.52
+3.2%
10.7%US$27.00US$17.55US$23.0512
Oct ’23US$24.20
US$25.32
+4.6%
11.3%US$29.30US$19.48US$24.9712
Sep ’23US$23.37
US$25.32
+8.4%
11.3%US$29.30US$19.48US$26.2712
Aug ’23US$23.46
US$25.25
+7.6%
11.4%US$29.01US$19.49US$26.2712
Jul ’23US$23.01
US$25.58
+11.2%
11.1%US$29.30US$19.68n/a12
Jun ’23US$25.15
US$26.79
+6.5%
11.8%US$31.04US$20.85US$23.7510
May ’23US$25.15
US$26.51
+5.4%
11.7%US$30.98US$20.50n/a10

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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