International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A.

OTCPK:BABW.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$15.1b

International Consolidated Airlines Group Valuation

Is BABW.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BABW.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BABW.F ($2.85) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($8.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BABW.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BABW.F?

Key metric: As BABW.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BABW.F. This is calculated by dividing BABW.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BABW.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.1x
Earnings€2.84b
Market Cap€14.49b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BABW.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BABW.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.1x
AAL American Airlines Group
34.3x39.5%US$9.3b
UAL United Airlines Holdings
11.2x11.6%US$31.1b
ALK Alaska Air Group
20.6x29.3%US$6.7b
CPA Copa Holdings
6.1x8.3%US$3.8b
BABW.F International Consolidated Airlines Group
5.1x2.6%US$12.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BABW.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the peer average (18.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BABW.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Airlines Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BABW.F 5.1xIndustry Avg. 10.1xNo. of Companies10PE0816243240+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BABW.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the Global Airlines industry average (10.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BABW.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BABW.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BABW.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BABW.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.85
US$3.44
+20.6%
27.5%US$6.35US$2.12n/a16
Nov ’25US$2.64
US$3.21
+21.7%
25.1%US$5.84US$2.18n/a16
Oct ’25US$2.70
US$3.16
+17.1%
25.4%US$5.84US$2.23n/a15
Sep ’25US$2.28
US$2.99
+31.1%
27.4%US$5.83US$2.22n/a16
Aug ’25n/a
US$2.91
0%
29.0%US$5.75US$2.19n/a15
Jul ’25n/a
US$2.89
0%
28.2%US$5.69US$2.17n/a15
Jun ’25US$2.05
US$2.93
+42.7%
27.7%US$5.68US$2.21n/a15
May ’25US$2.15
US$2.85
+32.3%
28.5%US$5.64US$2.14n/a15
Apr ’25US$2.07
US$2.85
+37.9%
29.0%US$5.69US$2.17n/a15
Mar ’25US$1.89
US$2.72
+44.1%
31.2%US$5.69US$1.77n/a16
Feb ’25US$1.80
US$2.79
+55.1%
30.9%US$5.72US$1.78n/a15
Jan ’25US$1.99
US$2.69
+35.0%
26.8%US$5.06US$1.72n/a15
Dec ’24n/a
US$2.68
0%
26.8%US$5.12US$1.74n/a16
Nov ’24US$1.62
US$2.64
+63.3%
25.8%US$4.96US$1.97US$2.6416
Oct ’24US$1.78
US$2.80
+57.5%
26.2%US$5.16US$1.97US$2.7015
Sep ’24US$1.99
US$2.95
+48.4%
26.1%US$5.36US$2.03US$2.2815
Aug ’24US$2.11
US$2.91
+37.9%
27.9%US$5.36US$1.80n/a15
Jul ’24US$1.97
US$2.65
+34.4%
22.8%US$4.37US$1.78n/a14
Jun ’24US$1.85
US$2.66
+43.9%
24.3%US$4.33US$1.46US$2.0514
May ’24US$1.83
US$2.43
+33.0%
20.1%US$3.31US$1.50US$2.1515
Apr ’24US$1.80
US$2.38
+32.1%
20.4%US$3.25US$1.48US$2.0715
Mar ’24US$1.90
US$2.26
+19.0%
20.2%US$3.20US$1.45US$1.8914
Feb ’24US$2.12
US$2.20
+3.7%
22.0%US$3.26US$1.24US$1.8013
Jan ’24US$1.53
US$2.01
+31.5%
23.1%US$3.21US$1.25US$1.9913
Dec ’23US$1.62
US$1.89
+16.8%
22.4%US$3.12US$1.21n/a14
Nov ’23US$1.35
US$1.77
+31.5%
23.2%US$2.96US$1.13US$1.6214

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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