Delta Air Lines, Inc.

NYSE:DAL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$38.7b

Delta Air Lines Valuation

Is DAL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DAL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DAL ($60.93) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($102.01)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DAL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DAL?

Key metric: As DAL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DAL. This is calculated by dividing DAL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DAL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.4x
EarningsUS$4.65b
Market CapUS$38.71b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DAL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DAL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21x
UAL United Airlines Holdings
11.6x12.1%US$31.4b
AAL American Airlines Group
40.3x39.8%US$10.9b
ALK Alaska Air Group
26x39.5%US$8.2b
CPA Copa Holdings
5.8x6.8%US$3.7b
DAL Delta Air Lines
8.4x3.9%US$38.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DAL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the peer average (21x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DAL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Airlines Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DAL 8.4xIndustry Avg. 9.5xNo. of Companies9PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DAL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the Global Airlines industry average (9.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DAL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DAL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.4x
Fair PE Ratio17.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DAL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DAL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$60.93
US$75.75
+24.3%
16.6%US$100.00US$36.00n/a22
Dec ’25US$63.82
US$73.56
+15.3%
18.1%US$100.00US$36.00n/a22
Nov ’25US$58.39
US$62.77
+7.5%
15.8%US$85.00US$36.00n/a20
Oct ’25US$49.96
US$58.57
+17.2%
16.0%US$85.00US$40.00n/a20
Sep ’25US$42.49
US$58.92
+38.7%
15.7%US$85.00US$40.00n/a20
Aug ’25US$41.50
US$59.22
+42.7%
15.7%US$85.00US$40.00n/a20
Jul ’25US$46.92
US$60.23
+28.4%
14.7%US$85.00US$39.00n/a20
Jun ’25US$51.02
US$59.78
+17.2%
15.3%US$85.00US$39.00n/a20
May ’25US$50.02
US$58.04
+16.0%
14.9%US$85.00US$39.00n/a19
Apr ’25US$48.22
US$54.09
+12.2%
17.9%US$85.00US$34.00n/a20
Mar ’25US$42.16
US$53.14
+26.0%
16.2%US$77.00US$34.00n/a20
Feb ’25US$39.76
US$52.89
+33.0%
16.6%US$77.00US$34.00n/a20
Jan ’25US$40.23
US$52.15
+29.6%
16.6%US$77.00US$40.00n/a20
Dec ’24US$38.05
US$52.15
+37.1%
16.6%US$77.00US$40.00US$63.8220
Nov ’24US$31.11
US$52.60
+69.1%
16.4%US$77.00US$40.00US$58.3920
Oct ’24US$37.00
US$58.16
+57.2%
14.4%US$77.00US$41.00US$49.9619
Sep ’24US$42.86
US$59.79
+39.5%
13.4%US$77.00US$41.00US$42.4919
Aug ’24US$45.40
US$60.26
+32.7%
12.6%US$77.00US$41.00US$41.5019
Jul ’24US$47.54
US$56.21
+18.2%
12.7%US$71.00US$41.00US$46.9219
Jun ’24US$36.38
US$51.42
+41.3%
17.4%US$70.00US$38.00US$51.0219
May ’24US$34.72
US$51.89
+49.4%
20.7%US$81.00US$38.00US$50.0218
Apr ’24US$34.92
US$51.37
+47.1%
19.1%US$81.00US$40.00US$48.2219
Mar ’24US$38.51
US$50.79
+31.9%
19.8%US$81.00US$40.00US$42.1619
Feb ’24US$39.89
US$50.53
+26.7%
20.3%US$81.00US$40.00US$39.7619
Jan ’24US$32.86
US$48.68
+48.2%
23.4%US$81.00US$35.00US$40.2319
Dec ’23US$35.38
US$48.17
+36.1%
21.7%US$74.00US$35.00US$38.0518

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 06:21
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Delta Air Lines, Inc. is covered by 51 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Lindsay BettiolAtlantic Equities LLP
Fred LowranceAvondale Partners