Air New Zealand Limited

OTCPK:ANZL.Y Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.1b

Air New Zealand Valuation

Is ANZL.Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ANZL.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ANZL.Y ($1.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($6.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ANZL.Y is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ANZL.Y?

Key metric: As ANZL.Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ANZL.Y. This is calculated by dividing ANZL.Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ANZL.Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.3x
EarningsNZ$146.00m
Market CapNZ$1.80b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ANZL.Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ANZL.Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.4x
SNCY Sun Country Airlines Holdings
16.1x53.4%US$726.9m
CPA Copa Holdings
6.1x8.3%US$3.9b
SKYW SkyWest
18.6x15.8%US$4.5b
ALK Alaska Air Group
20.7x29.3%US$6.7b
ANZL.Y Air New Zealand
12.3x23.9%US$1.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ANZL.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the peer average (15.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ANZL.Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Airlines Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ANZL.Y 12.3xIndustry Avg. 10.4xNo. of Companies10PE0816243240+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ANZL.Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the Global Airlines industry average (10.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ANZL.Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ANZL.Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ANZL.Y's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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