Air France-KLM SA

OTCPK:AFRA.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.1b

Air France-KLM Valuation

Is AFRA.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AFRA.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AFRA.F ($8.25) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($8.2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AFRA.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AFRA.F?

Key metric: As AFRA.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AFRA.F. This is calculated by dividing AFRA.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AFRA.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio31.7x
Earnings€63.00m
Market Cap€2.00b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AFRA.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AFRA.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.7x
CPA Copa Holdings
5.8x6.6%US$3.6b
SNCY Sun Country Airlines Holdings
17.7x53.2%US$758.6m
SKYW SkyWest
17.8x16.1%US$4.2b
ALK Alaska Air Group
25.4x40.7%US$8.1b
AFRA.F Air France-KLM
31.7x34.0%US$2.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AFRA.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.7x) compared to the peer average (16.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AFRA.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Airlines Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AFRA.F 31.7xIndustry Avg. 9.4xNo. of Companies8PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AFRA.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.7x) compared to the Global Airlines industry average (9.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AFRA.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AFRA.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AFRA.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AFRA.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$10.89
0%
43.4%US$28.69US$6.73n/a18
Dec ’25US$8.00
US$11.15
+39.4%
42.2%US$28.81US$6.76n/a18
Nov ’25n/a
US$12.11
0%
39.9%US$29.88US$8.15n/a18
Oct ’25US$9.53
US$12.37
+29.8%
40.8%US$30.73US$8.38n/a18
Sep ’25US$8.55
US$11.84
+38.5%
42.1%US$30.06US$8.20n/a18
Aug ’25US$9.00
US$11.97
+33.0%
42.3%US$29.77US$8.12n/a17
Jul ’25US$8.95
US$14.46
+61.6%
41.0%US$29.53US$9.56n/a17
Jun ’25US$11.14
US$15.53
+39.4%
38.8%US$29.73US$9.73n/a16
May ’25US$10.45
US$15.46
+47.9%
39.1%US$29.40US$9.62n/a16
Apr ’25US$10.90
US$16.92
+55.2%
35.5%US$29.81US$9.76n/a16
Mar ’25n/a
US$17.22
0%
35.2%US$29.80US$9.97n/a17
Feb ’25US$12.85
US$17.83
+38.8%
32.3%US$29.82US$9.87n/a17
Jan ’25n/a
US$18.34
0%
29.1%US$28.54US$10.43n/a17
Dec ’24US$12.70
US$18.54
+46.0%
26.3%US$27.78US$10.68US$8.0017
Nov ’24n/a
US$18.80
0%
23.6%US$27.52US$12.70n/a17
Oct ’24n/a
US$20.86
0%
21.6%US$27.46US$12.67US$9.5316
Sep ’24US$15.60
US$22.66
+45.2%
19.1%US$28.01US$15.08US$8.5516
Aug ’24US$17.10
US$23.24
+35.9%
18.5%US$28.56US$15.38US$9.0016
Jul ’24US$19.50
US$23.02
+18.1%
17.8%US$28.46US$15.33US$8.9516
Jun ’24US$17.85
US$22.48
+25.9%
18.4%US$27.96US$15.05US$11.1416
May ’24US$16.20
US$21.00
+29.6%
23.9%US$27.58US$12.14US$10.4517
Apr ’24US$19.50
US$19.65
+0.8%
24.7%US$26.03US$11.93US$10.9017
Mar ’24US$19.00
US$17.81
-6.3%
23.1%US$24.49US$11.71n/a17
Feb ’24US$16.90
US$16.07
-4.9%
20.9%US$21.76US$10.88US$12.8516
Jan ’24US$13.40
US$14.37
+7.2%
19.4%US$19.61US$9.01n/a14

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/06 22:42
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Air France-KLM SA is covered by 54 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Eric WilmerABN AMRO Bank N.V.
Lionel PellicerAlphaValue
Eduardo González MartínBanco Santander