Air France-KLM Valuation

Is AFLY.Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AFLY.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AFLY.Y ($0.79) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($0.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AFLY.Y is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AFLY.Y?

Key metric: As AFLY.Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AFLY.Y. This is calculated by dividing AFLY.Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AFLY.Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio30.7x
Earnings€63.00m
Market Cap€1.93b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AFLY.Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AFLY.Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.4x
CPA Copa Holdings
6.1x8.3%US$3.9b
SNCY Sun Country Airlines Holdings
16.1x53.4%US$726.9m
SKYW SkyWest
18.6x15.8%US$4.5b
ALK Alaska Air Group
20.7x29.3%US$6.7b
AFLY.Y Air France-KLM
30.7x33.5%US$1.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AFLY.Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.7x) compared to the peer average (15.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AFLY.Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Airlines Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AFLY.Y 30.7xIndustry Avg. 10.4xNo. of Companies10PE0816243240+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AFLY.Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.7x) compared to the Global Airlines industry average (10.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AFLY.Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AFLY.Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.7x
Fair PE Ratio18.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AFLY.Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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