Stock Analysis

Investors Interested In Norfolk Southern Corporation's (NYSE:NSC) Earnings

NYSE:NSC
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When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE:NSC) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 34.4x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Norfolk Southern has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Norfolk Southern

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:NSC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 11th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Norfolk Southern's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

Norfolk Southern's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 52% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 31% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 38% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 10% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Norfolk Southern's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Norfolk Southern maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Norfolk Southern (including 1 which can't be ignored).

You might be able to find a better investment than Norfolk Southern. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Norfolk Southern might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.