Stock Analysis

Is It Time To Consider Buying GXO Logistics, Inc. (NYSE:GXO)?

NYSE:GXO
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GXO Logistics, Inc. (NYSE:GXO), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the NYSE over the last few months. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today I will analyse the most recent data on GXO Logistics’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for GXO Logistics

What Is GXO Logistics Worth?

According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 33%, trading at US$58.89 compared to my intrinsic value of $44.43. This means that the opportunity to buy GXO Logistics at a good price has disappeared! If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Since GXO Logistics’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will GXO Logistics generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:GXO Earnings and Revenue Growth December 5th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for GXO Logistics. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in GXO’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe GXO should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on GXO for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for GXO, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for GXO Logistics and you'll want to know about it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.