Stock Analysis

At US$19.37, Is Global Ship Lease, Inc. (NYSE:GSL) Worth Looking At Closely?

NYSE:GSL
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Global Ship Lease, Inc. (NYSE:GSL), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the NYSE over the last few months. As a small cap stock, which tends to lack high analyst coverage, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Let’s take a look at Global Ship Lease’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Global Ship Lease

What Is Global Ship Lease Worth?

According to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 2.54x is currently trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 2.54x, which means if you buy Global Ship Lease today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe Global Ship Lease should be trading in this range, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Global Ship Lease’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Global Ship Lease look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:GSL Earnings and Revenue Growth February 6th 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Global Ship Lease, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting earnings growth of 5.6%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn’t appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for Global Ship Lease, at least in the near term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in GSL’s growth outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at GSL? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on GSL, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive growth outlook may mean it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. You'd be interested to know, that we found 2 warning signs for Global Ship Lease and you'll want to know about these.

If you are no longer interested in Global Ship Lease, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.