Azul S.A.

NYSE:AZUL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$200.2m

Azul Valuation

Is AZUL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AZUL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AZUL ($1.76) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($0.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AZUL is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AZUL?

Key metric: As AZUL is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AZUL. This is calculated by dividing AZUL's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AZUL's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.07x
SalesR$18.89b
Market CapR$1.23b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AZUL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AZUL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.6x
FLYX flyExclusive
0.2x28.3%US$246.1m
BLDE Blade Air Mobility
1.4x6.9%US$332.8m
SNCY Sun Country Airlines Holdings
0.7x8.3%US$771.9m
SAVE.Q Spirit Airlines
0.009x0.3%US$36.7m
AZUL Azul
0.07x10.6%US$1.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AZUL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (0.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AZUL's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Airlines Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.6x7.9%
AZUL Azul
 0.07x10.6%US$200.19m
TAWN.F Thai Airways International
0.09xn/aUS$254.89m
SAVE.Q Spirit Airlines
0.009x0.3%US$36.69m
AZUL 0.1xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies6PS00.40.81.21.62+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.6x20.3%
AZUL Azul
 0.07x106.1%US$200.19m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AZUL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the North American Airlines industry average (0.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AZUL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AZUL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.07x
Fair PS Ratio0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AZUL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 18:29
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Azul S.A. is covered by 19 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Pablo Monsivais MendozaBarclays
Renato Ramos de Almeida HallgrenBB Banco de Investimento S.A.
Rogerio AraujoBofA Global Research