Alaska Air Group, Inc.

NYSE:ALK Stock Report

Market Cap: US$8.2b

Alaska Air Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Alaska Air Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 40.7% and 13.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 41.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 17.3% in 3 years.

Key information

40.7%

Earnings growth rate

42.6%

EPS growth rate

Airlines earnings growth20.3%
Revenue growth rate13.9%
Future return on equity17.3%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated30 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Alaska Airlines Stock Surges 15% On Bullish Outlook

Dec 10

Alaska Air Group: Post-Hawaiian Perils

Nov 12

Alaska Air Group: What Is The Stock Worth After Hawaiian Airlines Takeover?

Sep 26

The World Opens To Alaska Airlines With Its Merger Approval

Sep 19

Alaska Airlines And Hawaiian Airlines Move Closer To Merger Approval After DoJ Review

Aug 21

Alaska Air Group: Turnaround Is Underway

Jun 16

Alaska Air Group: Strategic Adjustments And Resilient Performance Amid Industry Challenges

May 23

Market Participants Recognise Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:ALK) Earnings

May 03
Market Participants Recognise Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:ALK) Earnings

Alaska Air Group Earnings Preview: Look Past An Ugly Quarter

Apr 16

We Think Alaska Air Group (NYSE:ALK) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Mar 26
We Think Alaska Air Group (NYSE:ALK) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Alaska Air Group, Inc. (NYSE:ALK)?

Mar 10
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Alaska Air Group, Inc. (NYSE:ALK)?

Alaska Air Group: Short-Term Issues Don't Affect Growth Prospects

Feb 28

Alaska Air: Navigating The Opportunities And Risks

Feb 03

We Think Alaska Air Group's (NYSE:ALK) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve

Feb 01
We Think Alaska Air Group's (NYSE:ALK) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve

Alaska Airlines Earnings Soar Despite Boeing 737 MAX 9 Headwinds

Jan 26

Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:ALK) Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

Jan 26
Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:ALK) Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

Airline Merger: Alaska Airlines To Buy Hawaiian Airlines At Mega Premium

Dec 04

Alaska Air Group: Facing Medium-Term Headwinds But Still A Good Investment Choice

Nov 27

Alaska Airlines: Flying Into A Troubled Market Forcing Rating Downgrade

Oct 22

Alaska Airlines Faces Industry Headwinds

Sep 19

Alaska Air Stock: Still A Strong Buy Ahead Of Earnings

Jul 21

Alaska Airlines Flying Under The Radar: Best-Of-Breed Bargain

Jul 06

Alaska Air To Benefit From Fleet Modernization

Feb 16

Alaska Air Non-GAAP EPS of $0.92 misses by $0.01, revenue of $2.48B misses by $30M

Jan 26

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:ALK - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202716,342N/AN/AN/A3
12/31/202615,490957N/AN/A10
12/31/202514,6687191851,96012
12/31/202411,766561-69593010
9/30/202410,754322-2181,137N/A
6/30/202410,521225-3571,090N/A
3/31/202410,462245-3381,120N/A
12/31/202310,426235-4441,050N/A
9/30/202310,352259-6031,112N/A
6/30/202310,341160-6581,015N/A
3/31/202310,16159-1541,353N/A
12/31/20229,64658-2531,418N/A
9/30/20229,066544891,538N/A
6/30/20228,1912084361,258N/A
3/31/20227,0604665971,150N/A
12/31/20216,1764787381,030N/A
9/30/20215,08513343551N/A
6/30/20213,833-612296452N/A
3/31/20212,727-1,223-230-100N/A
12/31/20203,566-1,324-456-234N/A
9/30/20204,986-69684457N/A
6/30/20206,674574791,010N/A
3/31/20208,5415335871,287N/A
12/31/20198,7817691,0261,722N/A
9/30/20198,6176116571,590N/A
6/30/20198,4405066321,502N/A
3/31/20198,3084375171,357N/A
12/31/20188,2644372351,195N/A
9/30/20188,1427294801,219N/A
6/30/20188,040771N/A1,232N/A
3/31/20187,986871N/A1,426N/A
12/31/20177,894960N/A1,590N/A
9/30/20177,476759N/A1,537N/A
6/30/20176,932756N/A1,571N/A
3/31/20176,324723N/A1,331N/A
12/31/20165,925797N/A1,386N/A
9/30/20165,784891N/A1,561N/A
6/30/20165,733909N/A1,594N/A
3/31/20165,676883N/A1,595N/A
12/31/20155,598848N/A1,584N/A
9/30/20155,527805N/A1,367N/A
6/30/20155,477729N/A1,284N/A
3/31/20155,415660N/A1,302N/A
12/31/20145,368605N/A1,030N/A
9/30/20145,272535N/A1,051N/A
6/30/20145,171626N/A1,024N/A
3/31/20145,053565N/A1,011N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ALK's forecast earnings growth (40.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: ALK's earnings (40.7% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ALK's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ALK's revenue (13.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ALK's revenue (13.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ALK's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (17.3%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 23:19
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Alaska Air Group, Inc. is covered by 34 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Garrett ChaseBarclays
Brandon OglenskiBarclays
David FintzenBarclays