Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.

NasdaqGS:ULCC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$918.9m

Frontier Group Holdings Management

Management criteria checks 3/4

Frontier Group Holdings' CEO is Jimmy Dempsey, appointed in Dec 2025, has a tenure of less than a year. total yearly compensation is $4.24M, comprised of 15.5% salary and 84.5% bonuses, including company stock and options. directly owns 0.15% of the company’s shares, worth $1.39M. The average tenure of the management team and the board of directors is 2.3 years and 9.1 years respectively.

Key information

Jimmy Dempsey

Chief executive officer

US$4.2m

Total compensation

CEO salary percentage15.46%
CEO tenureless than a year
CEO ownership0.2%
Management average tenure2.3yrs
Board average tenure9.1yrs

Recent management updates

Recent updates

Wall Street Breakfast Podcast: White House Can Your Spare A Dime?

Apr 27

ULCC: Fuel Volatility And Capacity Plans Will Shape Balanced Future Risk Profile

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Frontier Group Holdings to $4.43 from $4.71, reflecting lower price targets around $4 from several firms as they factor in fuel cost uncertainty, capacity growth, and the stock's financial leverage. Analyst Commentary Recent research has centered on lower price targets around US$4 and a shift in ratings, as analysts reassess Frontier Group Holdings in light of fuel cost uncertainty, capacity plans, and balance sheet risk.

ULCC: Fuel Cost Uncertainty Will Shape Future Earnings Upside Potential

Analyst price targets for Frontier Group Holdings have shifted lower, with several firms trimming expectations toward the $4 range as they factor in fuel cost uncertainty, softer margin assumptions, higher projected revenue growth, and a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Frontier Group Holdings has turned more cautious, with multiple firms lowering price targets toward the US$4 range and shifting ratings toward Neutral or Underperform.

ULCC: Higher Future Multiple And Capacity Concerns Will Shape Earnings Path

The analyst price target for Frontier Group Holdings has been cut by $0.50 to $3.50, as analysts factor in recent downgrades, lower targets around $4, concerns over off peak capacity and financial leverage, and mixed views on future earnings strength that are reflected in a higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research has leaned cautious on Frontier Group Holdings, with several bearish analysts cutting price targets into a tighter band around $4 and shifting ratings lower.

ULCC: Constructive 2026 Backdrop And Capacity Discipline Will Drive Repricing

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Frontier Group Holdings slightly to $7.64 from $7.69, reflecting lower revenue growth assumptions, a modestly reduced discount rate, stronger projected profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple in light of recent price target cuts to $4 and $5 from several firms citing off peak capacity, leverage, and relative valuation concerns. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Frontier Group has tilted cautious overall, with several firms cutting ratings and price targets on concerns about off peak capacity, financial leverage, and relative valuation.

ULCC: Elevated Multiple And Cautious Carrier Swap Will Limit Earnings Upside

Analysts have lifted their price target on Frontier Group Holdings to $5 from $4, reflecting updated assumptions for higher revenue growth and slightly stronger profit margins, while still flagging valuation concerns and mixed views across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Frontier Group Holdings shows a mix of views, with some firms lifting price targets while others turn more cautious on the stock's risk and reward profile.

ULCC: Elevated Multiple And Lower Margins Will Likely Cap Earnings Upside

Narrative Update on Frontier Group Holdings Frontier Group Holdings' consensus analyst price target has shifted to a range anchored around $4 to $5, as analysts weigh a more constructive sector backdrop, highlighted by some firms, against concerns from others about valuation and profit sustainability. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Frontier Group shows a split view, with some seeing a constructive setup for airlines over the coming years and others flagging valuation and earnings quality concerns.

ULCC: Constructive 2026 Backdrop And Brand Loyalty Will Drive Repricing

Narrative Update: Frontier Group Holdings Analysts have modestly adjusted their price expectations for Frontier Group Holdings, with model fair value edging from about US$7.78 to roughly US$7.69. This reflects updated views on revenue growth, profit margin and a lower forward P/E, informed by mixed recent research that includes a Susquehanna price target increase to US$5 and a BofA cut to US$4 alongside a downgrade to Underperform.

ULCC: Constructive 2026 Backdrop And Brand Loyalty Will Drive Repricing

Analysts have adjusted their view on Frontier Group Holdings, with price targets shifting in a tight US$4 to US$5 range. This reflects updated assumptions on fair value, revenue growth, margins and future P/E, as they weigh a more constructive backdrop for select low cost carriers against concerns about relative valuation and earnings quality.

ULCC: Technology Merchandising Gains Will Likely Leave Earnings Upside Limited

Analysts raised their price target on Frontier Group Holdings to $4.00 from $3.00, citing improved expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, supported by evolving, technology driven merchandising trends across the U.S. airline industry. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts acknowledge that Frontier's upgraded price target reflects some improvement in expected revenue growth and margin execution, but they continue to view the risk and reward profile as balanced rather than compelling.

ULCC: Rising Fuel And Competitive Pressures Will Constrain Option-Like Upside

Analysts have raised their price target on Frontier Group Holdings to $4 from $3, citing improving demand and fare trends, a more constructive view of the airline industry's technology-driven merchandising shift, and meaningful, though option-like, upside potential under more favorable external conditions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a more balanced, risk aware view of Frontier Group Holdings despite the higher price targets.

There's Reason For Concern Over Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ULCC) Massive 29% Price Jump

Dec 03
There's Reason For Concern Over Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ULCC) Massive 29% Price Jump

ULCC: Upcoming Route Expansion Will Drive Gains From Spirit Overlap

Analysts have raised their price targets for Frontier Group Holdings, with new estimates ranging from $4 to $8. They cite improving demand, fare trends, and potential network gains as key factors supporting the outlook.

Sun Belt Demand And Digital Efficiency Will Drive Air Trends

Analysts have increased their average price target for Frontier Group Holdings to reflect recent improvements in demand and fare trends. They have raised targets to as high as $8 from prior estimates around $3, supported by anticipated industry tailwinds and increased network overlap with competitors.

Sun Belt Demand And Digital Efficiency Will Drive Air Trends

Analysts have increased their price target for Frontier Group Holdings, with consensus fair value rising from $5.39 to $5.67 per share. They cite improved industry demand, fare trends, and Frontier’s strategic positioning following recent industry shifts.

Sun Belt Demand And Digital Efficiency Will Drive Air Trends

Analysts have raised Frontier Group Holdings’ price target from $4.72 to $5.39, driven by expectations that the company will benefit most from Spirit’s bankruptcy due to significant network overlap and proactive route expansion. Analyst Commentary Expectations that Frontier will be the primary beneficiary of Spirit's bankruptcy, due to extensive network overlap.

There's Reason For Concern Over Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ULCC) Massive 26% Price Jump

Jul 23
There's Reason For Concern Over Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ULCC) Massive 26% Price Jump
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Network Optimization And Digital Upgrades Will Reshape Airline Travel

Network and capacity optimization is set to stabilize revenue, reduce costs, and positively impact net margins.

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULCC) Consensus Forecasts Have Become A Little Darker Since Its Latest Report

May 06
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULCC) Consensus Forecasts Have Become A Little Darker Since Its Latest Report

Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULCC) Shares Dive 42%

Apr 23
Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULCC) Shares Dive 42%

Frontier Airlines Stock Falls On Reduced Consumer Confidence Impact

Apr 14

Some Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULCC) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 29% Pounding

Mar 09
Some Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULCC) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 29% Pounding

Frontier Group: Taking Off Into Future Airline Travel Demand Growth

Jan 05

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULCC) With Shares Advancing 27%

Dec 24
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULCC) With Shares Advancing 27%

Frontier Airlines: Turbulence Ahead With Overcapacity, Climbing Costs

Oct 07

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ULCC) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Sep 22
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ULCC) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ULCC) 30% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Aug 03
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ULCC) 30% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Frontier Stock Tumbled 38% Since May - What Is Wrong?

Jul 19

CEO Compensation Analysis

How has Jimmy Dempsey's remuneration changed compared to Frontier Group Holdings's earnings?
DateTotal CompensationSalaryCompany Earnings
Dec 31 2025US$4mUS$655k

-US$137m

Sep 30 2025n/an/a

-US$137m

Jun 30 2025n/an/a

-US$34m

Mar 31 2025n/an/a

US$67m

Dec 31 2024US$1mUS$637k

US$84m

Sep 30 2024n/an/a

-US$6m

Jun 30 2024n/an/a

-US$64m

Mar 31 2024n/an/a

-US$24m

Dec 31 2023US$5mUS$586k

-US$11m

Sep 30 2023n/an/a

US$66m

Jun 30 2023n/an/a

US$129m

Mar 31 2023n/an/a

US$71m

Dec 31 2022US$3mUS$548k

-US$37m

Sep 30 2022n/an/a

-US$130m

Jun 30 2022n/an/a

-US$138m

Mar 31 2022n/an/a

-US$132m

Dec 31 2021US$2mUS$525k

-US$102m

Sep 30 2021n/an/a

-US$176m

Jun 30 2021n/an/a

-US$250m

Mar 31 2021n/an/a

-US$252m

Dec 31 2020US$2mUS$523k

-US$225m

Sep 30 2020n/an/a

-US$47m

Dec 31 2019US$3mUS$431k

US$237m

Compensation vs Market: Jimmy's total compensation ($USD4.24M) is about average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD3.69M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Jimmy's compensation has increased whilst the company is unprofitable.


CEO

Jimmy Dempsey (50 yo)

less than a year
Tenure
US$4,237,766
Compensation

Mr. James G. Dempsey, also known as Jimmy, is CEO, President & Director of Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. from January 7, 2026. He was Interim CEO & President of Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. from December...


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
James Dempsey
CEO, President & Directorless than a yearUS$4.24m0.15%
$ 1.4m
Mark Mitchell
Senior VP & CFO2.6yrsUS$2.00m0.078%
$ 715.1k
Howard Diamond
Executive Vice President of Legal & Corporate Affairs and Corporate Secretary11.8yrsUS$2.35m0.068%
$ 629.3k
Alexandre Clerc
Senior Vice President of Customers2.3yrsUS$1.83m0.023%
$ 211.1k
Robert Schroeter
Senior Vice President & Chief Commercial Officer2.2yrsUS$1.86m0.047%
$ 432.0k
Trevor Stedke
Senior Vice President of Operations7.1yrsUS$2.04m0.11%
$ 1.0m
Josh Wetzel
Chief Accounting Officer4.3yrsno data0.011%
$ 102.3k
Jeffrey Mathew
Senior VP & Chief Information Officerless than a yearno datano data
Tyri Squyres
Vice President of Marketingno datano datano data
Steve Schuller
Senior Vice President of Human Resources2.3yrsno data0.047%
$ 428.7k
David Erdman
Senior Director of Investor Relationsno datano datano data
Susan Donofrio
Investor Relations Officerno datano datano data
2.3yrs
Average Tenure
50.5yo
Average Age

Experienced Management: ULCC's management team is considered experienced (2.3 years average tenure).


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
James Dempsey
CEO, President & Directorless than a yearUS$4.24m0.15%
$ 1.4m
William Franke
Chairman of the Board12.4yrsUS$242.00k29.34%
$ 269.6m
Bernard Han
Independent Director12.2yrsUS$265.00k0.18%
$ 1.7m
Patricia Pineda
Independent Director9.9yrsUS$240.00k0.050%
$ 462.1k
R. Anthony Salcido
Independent Directorless than a yearno data0%
$ 0
Robert Genise
Independent Director12.2yrsUS$260.00k0.14%
$ 1.3m
John Connor
Independent Director10.8yrsUS$240.00k0.062%
$ 566.1k
Brian Franke
Director12.4yrsUS$262.00k2.5%
$ 23.0m
Nancy Lipson
Independent Director1.8yrsUS$240.00k0.011%
$ 105.2k
Alejandro Wolff
Independent Director6.8yrsUS$258.00k0.039%
$ 360.8k
Andrew Broderick
Director8.3yrsUS$240.00k0.37%
$ 3.4m
Ofelia Kumpf
Independent Director4.8yrsUS$258.00k0.028%
$ 256.7k
9.1yrs
Average Tenure
61yo
Average Age

Experienced Board: ULCC's board of directors are considered experienced (9.1 years average tenure).


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/03 19:10
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/01 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brandon OglenskiBarclays
Brandon OglenskiBarclays
Andrew DidoraBofA Global Research