Stock Analysis

P.A.M. Transportation Services (NASDAQ:PTSI) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

NasdaqGM:PAMT
Source: Shutterstock

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, P.A.M. Transportation Services, Inc. (NASDAQ:PTSI) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for P.A.M. Transportation Services

What Is P.A.M. Transportation Services's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, P.A.M. Transportation Services had US$284.4m of debt, up from US$249.3m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have US$28.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$256.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGM:PTSI Debt to Equity History March 8th 2021

How Strong Is P.A.M. Transportation Services' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that P.A.M. Transportation Services had liabilities of US$130.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$298.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$28.3m and US$83.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$316.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$343.3m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on P.A.M. Transportation Services' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

P.A.M. Transportation Services has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.8 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.9 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that P.A.M. Transportation Services actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 161%, over the last 12 months. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if P.A.M. Transportation Services can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, P.A.M. Transportation Services's free cash flow amounted to 37% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

P.A.M. Transportation Services's level of total liabilities and interest cover definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that P.A.M. Transportation Services is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for P.A.M. Transportation Services that you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NasdaqGM:PAMT

Pamt

Through its subsidiaries, operates as a truckload transportation and logistics company in the United States, Mexico, and Canada.

Moderate growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.

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