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Hub Group, Inc.NasdaqGS:HUBG Stock Report

Market Cap US$2.3b
Share Price
US$37.35
US$42.73
12.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y3.9%
7D-12.9%
Portfolio Value
View

Hub Group, Inc.

NasdaqGS:HUBG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.3b

Hub Group (HUBG) Stock Overview

A supply chain solutions provider, offers transportation and logistics management services in North America. More details

HUBG fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth1/6
Past Performance2/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends2/6

Rewards

Risk Analysis

No risks detected for HUBG from our risk checks.

HUBG Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Hub Group, Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Hub Group
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$37.35
52 Week HighUS$53.26
52 Week LowUS$32.46
Beta1.26
1 Month Change-4.84%
3 Month Change-5.82%
1 Year Change3.87%
3 Year Change-0.57%
5 Year Change7.34%
Change since IPO1,797.14%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update Apr 26

HUBG: Rail Merger And Free Cash Flow Will Offset Execution Concerns

The updated analyst price target for Hub Group edges lower by about $0.13 to roughly $42.73, as analysts weigh recent target cuts and downgrades alongside a few modest target increases and slightly revised assumptions on growth, margins, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Hub Group reflects a mixed view, with some analysts trimming targets and ratings while others make modest upward revisions to their estimates.
Narrative Update Apr 10

HUBG: Rail Merger And Free Cash Flow Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have trimmed the Hub Group fair value estimate from $44.33 to $42.87. This reflects updated views on slightly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, partially offset by modestly higher long term P/E expectations and mixed recent price target changes across the Street.
Seeking Alpha Apr 08

Hub Group: The Error That Broke The Buy Thesis (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Hub Group is downgraded to a sell due to ongoing EBITDA margin pressure and accounting uncertainty. An accounting issue understated accounts payable by $77 million, dropping adjusted EBITDA margin from 7.5% to 4.7%. Valuation is now fair only if the $77 million pressure is structural; upside exists only if this is a one-off event. Until Hub Group clarifies whether the EBITDA impact is ongoing or temporary, risk outweighs reward, and exiting the position is prudent. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Mar 27

HUBG: Rail Merger And Free Cash Flow Will Support Forward Upside

Hub Group's updated analyst price target edges lower by about $1 to roughly $44, as analysts weigh mixed recent research that includes earlier target hikes tied to rail partnership benefits and trucking supply tightness, alongside more cautious downgrades and trims reflecting softer seasonality and industry uncertainty. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Hub Group offers a split picture, with some analysts highlighting upside tied to rail partnerships and supply driven improvements in trucking, while others focus on softer seasonality and ongoing uncertainty around freight demand and pricing.

Recent updates

Narrative Update Apr 26

HUBG: Rail Merger And Free Cash Flow Will Offset Execution Concerns

The updated analyst price target for Hub Group edges lower by about $0.13 to roughly $42.73, as analysts weigh recent target cuts and downgrades alongside a few modest target increases and slightly revised assumptions on growth, margins, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Hub Group reflects a mixed view, with some analysts trimming targets and ratings while others make modest upward revisions to their estimates.
Narrative Update Apr 10

HUBG: Rail Merger And Free Cash Flow Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have trimmed the Hub Group fair value estimate from $44.33 to $42.87. This reflects updated views on slightly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, partially offset by modestly higher long term P/E expectations and mixed recent price target changes across the Street.
Seeking Alpha Apr 08

Hub Group: The Error That Broke The Buy Thesis (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Hub Group is downgraded to a sell due to ongoing EBITDA margin pressure and accounting uncertainty. An accounting issue understated accounts payable by $77 million, dropping adjusted EBITDA margin from 7.5% to 4.7%. Valuation is now fair only if the $77 million pressure is structural; upside exists only if this is a one-off event. Until Hub Group clarifies whether the EBITDA impact is ongoing or temporary, risk outweighs reward, and exiting the position is prudent. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Mar 27

HUBG: Rail Merger And Free Cash Flow Will Support Forward Upside

Hub Group's updated analyst price target edges lower by about $1 to roughly $44, as analysts weigh mixed recent research that includes earlier target hikes tied to rail partnership benefits and trucking supply tightness, alongside more cautious downgrades and trims reflecting softer seasonality and industry uncertainty. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Hub Group offers a split picture, with some analysts highlighting upside tied to rail partnerships and supply driven improvements in trucking, while others focus on softer seasonality and ongoing uncertainty around freight demand and pricing.
Narrative Update Mar 12

HUBG: Rail Merger Benefits And Buybacks Will Support Forward Upside

Analysts have raised their average price target on Hub Group to $45.67, reflecting updated views on intermodal volumes, potential benefits from proposed rail mergers, and a series of recent target changes across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Hub Group has been mixed, with several firms lifting price targets and a couple of fresh downgrades reminding investors that execution and industry conditions remain key swing factors.
Narrative Update Feb 26

HUBG: Rail Tie Up And Buybacks Will Shape Cautious Forward Outlook

Our updated analyst price target for Hub Group, now set at $45.67, reflects a balanced reading of recent research where several firms raised targets based on expectations around intermodal trends, rail partnership benefits and truckload supply tightening, while others turned more cautious on valuation and near term industry headwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Hub Group splits into two clear camps, with some analysts becoming more constructive on the company’s position in intermodal and truckload, while others are dialing back enthusiasm on valuation and industry cyclicality.
Narrative Update Feb 11

HUBG: Rail Tie Up And Buybacks Will Underpin Cautious Future Upside

Our fair value estimate for Hub Group has been adjusted from $48.00 to $45.67 as analysts factor in higher discount rates, slightly lower profit margins, and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple, even as several firms lift their price targets on expectations for intermodal and truckload improvement and potential benefits from the proposed Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern rail tie up. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Hub Group reflects a mixed setup, with several firms lifting price targets or ratings while others turn more cautious, often on timing and sustainability of any freight upturn rather than the company’s basic positioning.
New Narrative Feb 10

Intermodal Service Strength And Productivity Gains Will Support A Bullish Long Term Outlook

Catalysts About Hub Group Hub Group provides intermodal, dedicated trucking and logistics services across North America to help shippers manage and move freight efficiently. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update Jan 27

HUBG: Rail Tie Up And Free Cash Flow Will Support Measured Upside

Analysts have lifted their price targets and fair value estimate for Hub Group to about $48 per share, citing improved intermodal prospects, potential benefits from the proposed Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern rail tie up, and solid free cash flow alongside a valuation they still view as discounted. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Hub Group cluster around a higher fair value range, with most firms lifting price targets into the high $40s to mid $50s and several shifting to more constructive ratings.
Narrative Update Jan 12

HUBG: Gradual Truckload Recovery Will Meet Cautious Guidance And Fair Valuation

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Hub Group has moved higher by about US$3 to US$4 per share, as analysts factor in updated views on a gradual truckload recovery, tighter valuation frameworks, and modest adjustments to long term growth, profitability, and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Hub Group points to a mix of cautious optimism and ongoing concerns, with higher price targets reflecting updated views on truckload conditions, valuation frameworks, and the need for clearer improvement in fundamentals.
Narrative Update Dec 26

HUBG: Soft Freight Conditions Will Meet Gradual Margin And Guidance Improvement

Analysts have nudged their blended price target for Hub Group modestly higher, with fair value rising by roughly $0.50 per share to about $41.30. Slightly better long term margin and valuation assumptions outweighed cautious revenue growth expectations amid weak industrial demand and oversupplied transport markets.
Narrative Update Dec 12

HUBG: Cautious Freight Backdrop Will Meet Gradual Earnings And Guidance Recovery

Analysts have nudged their price target on Hub Group modestly higher to approximately $40.82 from about $39.94, citing slightly improved long term growth and profitability assumptions, even as they point to ongoing industry oversupply and only gradually improving fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a mixed but generally cautious stance on Hub Group, with modest price target revisions that capture both incremental optimism on execution and lingering concerns around the broader freight backdrop.
Analysis Article Nov 27

Hub Group's (NASDAQ:HUBG) Dividend Will Be $0.125

Hub Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HUBG ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.125 per share on the 17th of December...
Analysis Article Nov 02

Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of Hub Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:HUBG) After Its Third-Quarter Report

Investors in Hub Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HUBG ) had a good week, as its shares rose 3.4% to close at US$36.83 following...
Analysis Article Sep 23

Be Wary Of Hub Group (NASDAQ:HUBG) And Its Returns On Capital

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? One...
Analysis Article Sep 05

Hub Group's (NASDAQ:HUBG) Dividend Will Be $0.125

Hub Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:HUBG ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.125 per share on 24th of September. This...
Analysis Article Jul 02

An Intrinsic Calculation For Hub Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:HUBG) Suggests It's 35% Undervalued

Key Insights Hub Group's estimated fair value is US$53.95 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share price...
Analysis Article Jun 16

Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Hub Group (NASDAQ:HUBG)

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
Analysis Article May 28

At US$34.23, Is Hub Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:HUBG) Worth Looking At Closely?

Hub Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HUBG ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a...
Analysis Article May 13

Hub Group, Inc. Just Missed Revenue By 5.0%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

It's been a pretty great week for Hub Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HUBG ) shareholders, with its shares surging 11% to US$35.84...
Seeking Alpha Apr 16

Hub Group: Uncertainty For A Fragile Market

Summary Hub Group, Inc.'s stock has declined over 30% due to overcapacity in logistics and trade tensions impacting demand, leading to reduced price targets. The company reported $3.95 billion in sales, missing estimates, and faces margin pressures from economic uncertainties and trade policies. 2025 guidance reflects uncertainty with a wide range for sales and EPS, highlighting the challenging macroeconomic environment. Despite maintaining a buy rating for HUBG stock, I acknowledge the high risks and potential for future downgrades if recovery plans are insufficient. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Apr 15

Investors Appear Satisfied With Hub Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:HUBG) Prospects

Hub Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:HUBG ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.8x might make it look like a sell right now...
Analysis Article Mar 31

Is There An Opportunity With Hub Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:HUBG) 47% Undervaluation?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Hub Group fair value estimate is US$70.25 Hub Group's US$37.13...
Analysis Article Mar 10

Hub Group (NASDAQ:HUBG) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.125

Hub Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HUBG ) will pay a dividend of $0.125 on the 28th of March. Including this payment, the...
Analysis Article Feb 27

Capital Allocation Trends At Hub Group (NASDAQ:HUBG) Aren't Ideal

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...
Analysis Article Feb 12

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Hub Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:HUBG)?

Hub Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HUBG ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement...
Analysis Article Dec 17

Hub Group (NASDAQ:HUBG) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysis Article Dec 02

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Hub Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:HUBG) Price

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29.2x Hub Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HUBG ) may be sending bearish signals at...
Analysis Article Nov 16

Hub Group (NASDAQ:HUBG) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
Analysis Article Oct 17

Should You Think About Buying Hub Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:HUBG) Now?

While Hub Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HUBG ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share price...
User avatar
New Narrative Sep 09

Strategic Moves And Market Dynamics Set To Propel Logistics Leader's Growth And Margins

Integration of acquisitions and new customer site onboarding in logistics services are expected to drive revenue growth and improve net margins.
Seeking Alpha Aug 30

Hub Group: Why I Am Cutting My Stock Price Target By 10%

Summary Hub Group faces a challenging demand environment, but LTL business growth and cost reductions provide some upside potential. Q2 revenues declined, with operating income dropping 36%, reflecting tough macroeconomic conditions and margin contraction. Revised EPS guidance is slightly lower, but Hub Group's low leverage and potential for intermodal growth offer some optimism. Despite a 10% lower price target, I maintain a buy rating due to cost control, low leverage, and potential 2025 upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Aug 19

Are Investors Undervaluing Hub Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:HUBG) By 32%?

Key Insights The projected fair value for Hub Group is US$63.54 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Hub Group is...
Analysis Article Jul 29

Hub Group (NASDAQ:HUBG) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysis Article Jul 13

Returns On Capital At Hub Group (NASDAQ:HUBG) Paint A Concerning Picture

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Ideally, a business...
Analysis Article May 21

Market Participants Recognise Hub Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:HUBG) Earnings

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may...
Seeking Alpha May 17

Is Hub Group Stock A Buy Despite The Freight Recession?

Summary Hub Group, Inc.'s Q1 2024 earnings show a freight recession with declining revenues and operating income margin. The company is focused on managing costs and shifting truck loads to intermodal to improve business performance. Despite the current challenges, there is a compelling investment case for Hub Group, with potential upside in 2025 and beyond. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article May 05

Should You Investigate Hub Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:HUBG) At US$42.54?

Hub Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HUBG ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement...
Analysis Article Apr 19

Hub Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:HUBG) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 51% Above Its Share Price

Key Insights The projected fair value for Hub Group is US$58.46 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Hub Group's...
Analysis Article Mar 01

Hub Group (NASDAQ:HUBG) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Feb 14

Hub Group (NASDAQ:HUBG) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'd want to...
Analysis Article Jan 30

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Hub Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:HUBG) Tunnel

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may...

Shareholder Returns

HUBGUS LogisticsUS Market
7D-12.9%-2.1%-0.9%
1Y3.9%25.7%24.4%

Return vs Industry: HUBG underperformed the US Logistics industry which returned 26.2% over the past year.

Return vs Market: HUBG underperformed the US Market which returned 26.7% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is HUBG's price volatile compared to industry and market?
HUBG volatility
HUBG Average Weekly Movement6.4%
Logistics Industry Average Movement8.8%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

Stable Share Price: HUBG has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: HUBG's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
19716,604Phil Yeagerwww.hubgroup.com

Hub Group, Inc., a supply chain solutions provider, offers transportation and logistics management services in North America. It operates in two segments, Intermodal and Transportation Solutions (ITS), and Logistics. The ITS segment offers intermodal and dedicated trucking services, including freight transportation, truckload, less-than-truckload, flatbed, temperature-controlled, and dedicated and regional trucking services.

Hub Group, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Hub Group's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
HUBG fundamental statistics
Market capUS$2.28b
Earnings (TTM)US$104.97m
Revenue (TTM)US$3.73b
21.8x
P/E Ratio
0.6x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
HUBG income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$3.73b
Cost of RevenueUS$3.30b
Gross ProfitUS$424.25m
Other ExpensesUS$319.28m
EarningsUS$104.97m

Last Reported Earnings

Sep 30, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)1.72
Gross Margin11.38%
Net Profit Margin2.82%
Debt/Equity Ratio14.5%

How did HUBG perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

1.3%
Current Dividend Yield
29%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/15 07:22
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/15 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Hub Group, Inc. is covered by 32 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Daniel MooreBaird
Brandon OglenskiBarclays
Brandon OglenskiBarclays