Hub Group (NasdaqGS:HUBG) - Share price, News & Analysis

HUBG fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	5/6
Future Growth	0/6
Past Performance	5/6
Financial Health	6/6
Dividends	0/6

HUBG Stock Overview

Hub Group, Inc., a supply chain solutions provider, offers transportation and logistics management services in North America.

Rewards

Trading at 22.7% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings grew by 211.7% over the past year

Risk Analysis

Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 13.8% per year for the next 3 years

Hub Group Competitors

Expeditors International of Washington

NasdaqGS:EXPD

US$17.5b

C.H. Robinson Worldwide

NasdaqGS:CHRW

US$13.1b

Forward Air

NasdaqGS:FWRD

US$2.4b

Waste Management

NYSE:WM

US$63.6b

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Hub Group
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	US$69.04
52 Week High	US$87.21
52 Week Low	US$60.81
Beta	0.94
1 Month Change	7.96%
3 Month Change	-13.29%
1 Year Change	-0.99%
3 Year Change	71.91%
5 Year Change	102.46%
Change since IPO	1,653.40%

Recent News & Updates

May 17

If You Like EPS Growth Then Check Out Hub Group (NASDAQ:HUBG) Before It's Too Late

Like a puppy chasing its tail, some new investors often chase 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story...

Shareholder Returns

	HUBG	US Logistics	US Market
7D	-6.8%	-2.5%	0.5%
1Y	-1.0%	-21.3%	-11.5%

Return vs Industry: HUBG exceeded the US Logistics industry which returned -21.3% over the past year.

Return vs Market: HUBG exceeded the US Market which returned -11.5% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is HUBG's price volatile compared to industry and market?
HUBG volatility
HUBG Average Weekly Movement	6.7%
Logistics Industry Average Movement	6.4%
Market Average Movement	7.9%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market	17.0%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market	3.0%

Stable Share Price: HUBG is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 7% a week.

Volatility Over Time: HUBG's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
1971	4,700	David Yeager	https://www.hubgroup.com

Hub Group, Inc., a supply chain solutions provider, offers transportation and logistics management services in North America. The company’s transportation services include intermodal, truckload, less-than-truckload, flatbed, temperature-controlled, and dedicated and regional trucking, as well as final mile, railcar, small parcel, and international transportation. Its logistics services comprise full outsource logistics solution, transportation management, freight consolidation, warehousing and fulfillment, final mile delivery, and parcel and international services.

Hub Group Fundamentals Summary

How do Hub Group's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
HUBG fundamental statistics
Market Cap	US$2.42b
Earnings (TTM)	US$241.75m
Revenue (TTM)	US$4.61b

9.9x

P/E Ratio

0.5x

P/S Ratio

Is HUBG overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
HUBG income statement (TTM)
Revenue	US$4.61b
Cost of Revenue	US$3.91b
Gross Profit	US$705.91m
Other Expenses	US$464.16m
Earnings	US$241.75m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2022

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)	6.97
Gross Margin	15.31%
Net Profit Margin	5.24%
Debt/Equity Ratio	19.1%

How did HUBG perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Valuation

Is Hub Group undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
PE vs Industry
PE vs Market
PEG Ratio
PB vs Industry

22.7%

Undervalued compared to fair value

Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: HUBG ($69.04) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($89.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HUBG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: HUBG is good value based on its PE Ratio (9.9x) compared to the US Logistics industry average (11.1x).

PE vs Market: HUBG is good value based on its PE Ratio (9.9x) compared to the US market (15.5x).

Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: HUBG's earnings are forecast to decline next year, so we can't calculate its PEG ratio.

Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: HUBG is good value based on its PB Ratio (1.7x) compared to the US Logistics industry average (2.5x).

Future Growth

How is Hub Group forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 14 analysts?

Future Growth Score

0/6

Future Growth Score 0/6

Earnings vs Savings Rate
Earnings vs Market
High Growth Earnings
Revenue vs Market
High Growth Revenue
Future ROE

-13.8%

Forecasted annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HUBG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-13.8% per year).

Earnings vs Market: HUBG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-13.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: HUBG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: HUBG's revenue (1.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (7.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HUBG's revenue (1.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: HUBG's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.2%).

Past Performance

How has Hub Group performed over the past 5 years?

Past Performance Score

5/6

Past Performance Score 5/6

Quality Earnings
Growing Profit Margin
Earnings Trend
Accelerating Growth
Earnings vs Industry
High ROE

11.3%

Historical annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: HUBG has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: HUBG's current net profit margins (5.2%) are higher than last year (2.2%).

Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: HUBG's earnings have grown by 11.3% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: HUBG's earnings growth over the past year (211.7%) exceeds its 5-year average (11.3% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: HUBG earnings growth over the past year (211.7%) exceeded the Logistics industry 71.2%.

Return on Equity

High ROE: HUBG's Return on Equity (16.9%) is considered low.

Financial Health

How is Hub Group's financial position?

Financial Health Score

6/6

Financial Health Score 6/6

Short Term Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Debt Level
Reducing Debt
Debt Coverage
Interest Coverage

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: HUBG's short term assets ($1.0B) exceed its short term liabilities ($707.6M).

Long Term Liabilities: HUBG's short term assets ($1.0B) exceed its long term liabilities ($412.6M).

Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: HUBG's net debt to equity ratio (4.6%) is considered satisfactory.

Reducing Debt: HUBG's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 23.3% to 19.1% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: HUBG's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (75.5%).

Interest Coverage: HUBG's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (46.6x coverage).

Balance Sheet

Dividend

What is Hub Group current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Score

0/6

Dividend Score 0/6

Notable Dividend
High Dividend
Stable Dividend
Growing Dividend
Earnings Coverage
Future Dividend Coverage

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate HUBG's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate HUBG's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if HUBG's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if HUBG's dividend payments have been increasing.

Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.

Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as HUBG has not reported any payouts.

Discover strong dividend paying companies

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

2.8yrs

Average management tenure

CEO

David Yeager (68 yo)

27.17yrs

Tenure

US$5,724,633

Compensation

Mr. David P. Yeager has been the Chief Executive Officer of Hub Group Inc. since March 1995. Mr. Yeager served as the President of Hub Chicago from October 1985 to December 1991. He served as a Vice Presid...

CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: David's total compensation ($USD5.72M) is about average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD6.81M).

Compensation vs Earnings: David's compensation has increased by more than 20% in the past year.

Leadership Team

Experienced Management: HUBG's management team is considered experienced (2.8 years average tenure).

Board Members

Experienced Board: HUBG's board of directors are considered experienced (5.5 years average tenure).

Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?

Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2022/05/19 00:00
End of Day Share Price	2022/05/19 00:00
Earnings	2022/03/31
Annual Earnings	2021/12/31