Hub Group, Inc.

NasdaqGS:HUBG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.1b

Hub Group Valuation

Is HUBG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HUBG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HUBG ($50.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($73.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HUBG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HUBG?

Key metric: As HUBG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HUBG. This is calculated by dividing HUBG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HUBG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.4x
EarningsUS$108.46m
Market CapUS$3.07b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HUBG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HUBG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31x
AAWW Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings
8.2x5.0%US$2.9b
GXO GXO Logistics
65.3x44.9%US$7.0b
CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide
37.1x16.6%US$12.9b
ZTO ZTO Express (Cayman)
13.5x13.7%US$16.9b
HUBG Hub Group
28.4x15.2%US$3.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HUBG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the peer average (38.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HUBG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Logistics Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HUBG 28.4xIndustry Avg. 17.7xNo. of Companies32PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HUBG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the Global Logistics industry average (17.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HUBG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HUBG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.4x
Fair PE Ratio14.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HUBG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HUBG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$50.25
US$47.53
-5.4%
7.7%US$57.00US$41.00n/a15
Nov ’25US$43.25
US$46.60
+7.7%
6.9%US$54.00US$41.00n/a15
Oct ’25US$44.33
US$45.53
+2.7%
7.6%US$51.00US$40.00n/a15
Sep ’25US$47.13
US$45.20
-4.1%
7.2%US$51.00US$40.00n/a15
Aug ’25US$46.20
US$44.43
-3.8%
5.9%US$50.00US$40.00n/a14
Jul ’25US$42.86
US$45.07
+5.2%
6.6%US$50.00US$40.00n/a14
Jun ’25US$43.15
US$44.93
+4.1%
6.6%US$50.00US$40.00n/a15
May ’25US$41.02
US$44.93
+9.5%
6.6%US$50.00US$40.00n/a15
Apr ’25US$41.81
US$47.53
+13.7%
8.8%US$55.00US$40.00n/a15
Mar ’25US$42.18
US$47.88
+13.5%
8.5%US$55.00US$40.00n/a16
Feb ’25US$45.19
US$46.87
+3.7%
10.3%US$55.00US$38.00n/a15
Jan ’25US$45.97
US$44.20
-3.9%
9.5%US$52.00US$37.50n/a15
Dec ’24US$39.17
US$42.13
+7.6%
9.6%US$50.50US$35.00n/a16
Nov ’24US$34.03
US$42.22
+24.1%
9.5%US$50.50US$35.00US$43.2516
Oct ’24US$39.27
US$48.13
+22.6%
11.5%US$58.50US$41.00US$44.3315
Sep ’24US$39.48
US$48.40
+22.6%
11.3%US$58.50US$41.00US$47.1315
Aug ’24US$44.92
US$48.40
+7.8%
11.3%US$58.50US$41.00US$46.2015
Jul ’24US$40.16
US$47.00
+17.0%
11.6%US$58.50US$40.00US$42.8615
Jun ’24US$36.63
US$46.77
+27.7%
10.4%US$58.00US$40.00US$43.1515
May ’24US$38.08
US$47.60
+25.0%
9.9%US$58.00US$40.00US$41.0215
Apr ’24US$41.97
US$50.97
+21.4%
11.5%US$66.50US$41.50US$41.8115
Mar ’24US$46.06
US$51.22
+11.2%
10.9%US$66.50US$41.50US$42.1816
Feb ’24US$44.14
US$46.56
+5.5%
11.5%US$60.50US$37.50US$45.1916
Jan ’24US$39.75
US$46.69
+17.5%
12.4%US$60.50US$37.50US$45.9716
Dec ’23US$41.38
US$46.56
+12.5%
12.5%US$60.50US$37.50US$39.1716
Nov ’23US$39.70
US$46.41
+16.9%
12.2%US$60.50US$37.50US$34.0317

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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