Stock Analysis

We Think ArcBest (NASDAQ:ARCB) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

NasdaqGS:ARCB
Source: Shutterstock

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that ArcBest Corporation (NASDAQ:ARCB) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for ArcBest

What Is ArcBest's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that ArcBest had debt of US$243.2m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from US$253.3m over a year. But it also has US$340.8m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$97.7m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:ARCB Debt to Equity History December 15th 2023

A Look At ArcBest's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that ArcBest had liabilities of US$668.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$548.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$340.8m and US$480.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$395.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded ArcBest shares are worth a total of US$2.60b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, ArcBest also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for ArcBest if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 62% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine ArcBest's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. ArcBest may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, ArcBest recorded free cash flow worth 79% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

Although ArcBest's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$97.7m. The cherry on top was that in converted 79% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$100m. So we don't have any problem with ArcBest's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for ArcBest that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.