Shareholders in American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) have lost 62%, as stock drops 8.7% this past week

By
Simply Wall St
Published
February 24, 2022
NasdaqGS:AAL
Source: Shutterstock

Statistically speaking, long term investing is a profitable endeavour. But unfortunately, some companies simply don't succeed. For example the American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) share price dropped 64% over five years. That is extremely sub-optimal, to say the least. And some of the more recent buyers are probably worried, too, with the stock falling 20% in the last year. And the share price decline continued over the last week, dropping some 8.7%. However, this move may have been influenced by the broader market, which fell 6.4% in that time.

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

See our latest analysis for American Airlines Group

Because American Airlines Group made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

Over half a decade American Airlines Group reduced its trailing twelve month revenue by 13% for each year. That's definitely a weaker result than most pre-profit companies report. Arguably, the market has responded appropriately to this business performance by sending the share price down 10% (annualized) in the same time period. It's fair to say most investors don't like to invest in loss making companies with falling revenue. This looks like a really risky stock to buy, at a glance.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:AAL Earnings and Revenue Growth February 24th 2022

American Airlines Group is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that American Airlines Group shareholders are down 20% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 1.4%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 10% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand American Airlines Group better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for American Airlines Group that you should be aware of.

We will like American Airlines Group better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

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