Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On United States Cellular Corporation (NYSE:USM) Is Unlikely

NYSE:USM
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There wouldn't be many who think United States Cellular Corporation's (NYSE:USM) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Wireless Telecom industry in the United States is similar at about 0.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for United States Cellular

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:USM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 9th 2024
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How United States Cellular Has Been Performing

United States Cellular could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think United States Cellular's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is United States Cellular's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like United States Cellular's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 5.6%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 1.5% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 1.0% each year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 3.5% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that United States Cellular's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does United States Cellular's P/S Mean For Investors?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of United States Cellular's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for United States Cellular (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.