Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Ciena (NYSE:CIEN) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Ciena is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.08 = US$382m ÷ (US$5.6b - US$841m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to January 2024).
So, Ciena has an ROCE of 8.0%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 8.0%.
Check out our latest analysis for Ciena
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Ciena compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Ciena for free.
So How Is Ciena's ROCE Trending?
There are better returns on capital out there than what we're seeing at Ciena. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 8.0% and the business has deployed 63% more capital into its operations. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
The Bottom Line
In summary, Ciena has simply been reinvesting capital and generating the same low rate of return as before. And with the stock having returned a mere 20% in the last five years to shareholders, you could argue that they're aware of these lackluster trends. So if you're looking for a multi-bagger, the underlying trends indicate you may have better chances elsewhere.
Ciena could be trading at an attractive price in other respects, so you might find our free intrinsic value estimation for CIEN on our platform quite valuable.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:CIEN
Ciena
Provides hardware and software services for delivery of video, data, and voice traffic metro, aggregation, and access communications network worldwide.
Excellent balance sheet with moderate growth potential.