Stock Analysis

3 Stocks That May Be Trading Below Their Estimated Value

NasdaqCM:NAGE
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As the U.S. stock market experiences a slight downturn following a series of gains, investors are keenly observing opportunities that may arise from recent fluctuations in major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite. In this environment, identifying stocks that are potentially trading below their estimated value can be an effective strategy for those looking to capitalize on market inefficiencies and uncover hidden potential within their portfolios.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In The United States

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Quaker Chemical (NYSE:KWR)$105.85$210.3749.7%
KBR (NYSE:KBR)$55.45$108.6849%
Horizon Bancorp (NasdaqGS:HBNC)$15.69$30.6948.9%
Flowco Holdings (NYSE:FLOC)$19.17$37.9149.4%
Curbline Properties (NYSE:CURB)$23.62$47.1749.9%
Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ)$192.91$385.3749.9%
Array Technologies (NasdaqGM:ARRY)$7.265$14.2148.9%
FinWise Bancorp (NasdaqGM:FINW)$14.85$29.2249.2%
TransMedics Group (NasdaqGM:TMDX)$122.10$238.9448.9%
Mobileye Global (NasdaqGS:MBLY)$15.72$31.0849.4%

Click here to see the full list of 170 stocks from our Undervalued US Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Below we spotlight a couple of our favorites from our exclusive screener.

Niagen Bioscience (NasdaqCM:NAGE)

Overview: Niagen Bioscience, Inc. is a bioscience company focused on developing healthy aging products, with a market cap of $864.36 million.

Operations: Niagen Bioscience generates revenue through three primary segments: Ingredients ($23.90 million), Consumer Products ($80.92 million), and Analytical Reference Standards and Services ($3.11 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 19.7%

Niagen Bioscience's earnings are forecast to grow significantly at 26.1% annually, outpacing the US market average of 14.3%. Trading at US$10.93, it is undervalued against its fair value estimate of US$13.62 by 19.7%. Recent developments include increased revenue guidance for 2025 and a profitable first quarter with net income of US$5.06 million, reflecting strong performance in the expanding NAD+ market despite higher administrative expenses due to revised share-based compensation estimates.

NasdaqCM:NAGE Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025
NasdaqCM:NAGE Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025

Calix (NYSE:CALX)

Overview: Calix, Inc. is a company that offers cloud and software platforms, systems, and services globally, with a market cap of approximately $2.94 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segment primarily involves the development, marketing, and sale of communications access systems and software, generating $825.45 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 18.2%

Calix, trading at US$46.18, is undervalued compared to its fair value estimate of US$56.43, offering a potential opportunity based on cash flow analysis. Despite recent challenges with a net loss of US$4.79 million in Q1 2025 and slower revenue growth at 10.5% annually, Calix's strategic partnerships and product innovations like SmartBiz are enhancing its market position and supporting future profitability expectations above the market average within three years.

NYSE:CALX Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025
NYSE:CALX Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025

CareTrust REIT (NYSE:CTRE)

Overview: CareTrust REIT is a self-administered, publicly-traded real estate investment trust focused on owning, acquiring, developing, and leasing seniors housing and healthcare-related properties, with a market cap of approximately $5.59 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue primarily comes from its investments in healthcare-related real estate assets, totaling $329.84 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 46.1%

CareTrust REIT, trading at US$29.36, appears undervalued with a fair value estimate of US$54.46 based on cash flow analysis. Recent acquisitions and increased earnings guidance for 2025 highlight growth potential, though shareholder dilution has occurred. Earnings grew substantially by 157.1% last year and are projected to rise 27.7% annually, outpacing the market's average growth rate of 14.3%. However, its dividend yield of 4.56% is not fully covered by earnings projections.

NYSE:CTRE Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025
NYSE:CTRE Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025

Turning Ideas Into Actions

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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