Could Arrow Electronics’ (ARW) AirBorn Expansion Reveal a New Edge in Defense Sector Strategy?

Simply Wall St
  • Arrow Electronics, Inc. recently announced it has expanded its IP&E components portfolio in North America and EMEA by adding AirBorn, a Molex company, to its offering.
  • This move extends Arrow’s long-term collaboration with Molex and supports the launch of Molex’s new aerospace and defense division anchored by AirBorn’s advanced connectors and assemblies.
  • We’ll assess how the addition of AirBorn’s aerospace and defense solutions may impact Arrow’s growth outlook and sector positioning.

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Arrow Electronics Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in Arrow Electronics, you need to believe in the company’s positioning as a key supplier to industrial, transportation, and now aerospace and defense markets, sectors that are still cycling through normalization, making broad-based demand recovery a critical short-term catalyst. The addition of AirBorn to Arrow’s IP&E portfolio modestly deepens exposure to high-specification aerospace applications, but it does not fundamentally shift the risk that ongoing end-market softness and inventory destocking may challenge margin expansion and revenue visibility in the near term. Among recent announcements, Arrow’s July partnership with Scale Computing, targeting virtualization solutions with significant cost and downtime reductions, ties directly to their broader focus on value-added integration and high-margin services, an area that complements the aerospace push and remains central to unlocking stronger operating leverage as market demand returns. However, while these partnerships reinforce Arrow’s sector relevance, the bigger catalyst remains the pace of mass market inventory normalization and customer purchasing patterns. In contrast, investors should be aware that further normalization delays or destocking trends could still disrupt…

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Arrow Electronics' outlook anticipates $35.2 billion in revenue and $734.1 million in earnings by 2028. Achieving this would require 7.3% annual revenue growth and an earnings increase of $266.9 million from the current $467.2 million level.

Uncover how Arrow Electronics' forecasts yield a $116.75 fair value, a 9% downside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

ARW Earnings & Revenue Growth as at Sep 2025

Simply Wall St Community members have shared two fair value estimates for Arrow, ranging widely from US$19.49 to US$116.75. While opinions differ significantly, many are watching how ongoing inventory normalization plays out and what it could mean for Arrow’s future performance.

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Arrow Electronics - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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