Stock Analysis

Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On Arlo Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:ARLO)

NYSE:ARLO
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There wouldn't be many who think Arlo Technologies, Inc.'s (NYSE:ARLO) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.9x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Electronic industry in the United States is similar at about 1.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for Arlo Technologies

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:ARLO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 24th 2023

What Does Arlo Technologies' Recent Performance Look Like?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Arlo Technologies' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Arlo Technologies' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Arlo Technologies would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 7.8%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 30% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 9.4% as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 6.7% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it interesting that Arlo Technologies is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Arlo Technologies' P/S?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Arlo Technologies currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Arlo Technologies that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.