Stock Analysis

Arlo Technologies, Inc.'s (NYSE:ARLO) Shares Leap 33% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

NYSE:ARLO
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Arlo Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:ARLO) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 33% after a shaky period beforehand. The annual gain comes to 217% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Arlo Technologies' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Electronic industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Arlo Technologies

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:ARLO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 2nd 2024

What Does Arlo Technologies' Recent Performance Look Like?

Arlo Technologies certainly has been doing a good job lately as its revenue growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their revenue go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Arlo Technologies' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Arlo Technologies' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. However, a few strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 38% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been great for the company, but investors will want to ask why it has slowed to such an extent.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 8.0% during the coming year according to the five analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 5.2% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Arlo Technologies' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Arlo Technologies' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Arlo Technologies' P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Arlo Technologies you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Arlo Technologies, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Arlo Technologies is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.