Stock Analysis

With A 39% Price Drop For Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:RCAT) You'll Still Get What You Pay For

NasdaqCM:RCAT
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The Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:RCAT) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 39%. Nonetheless, the last 30 days have barely left a scratch on the stock's annual performance, which is up a whopping 640%.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given around half the companies in the United States' Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2x, you may still consider Red Cat Holdings as a stock to avoid entirely with its 26.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Red Cat Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:RCAT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 20th 2025

What Does Red Cat Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Red Cat Holdings certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Red Cat Holdings.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Red Cat Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 95%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 126% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 331% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.9% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Red Cat Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What Does Red Cat Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Red Cat Holdings' very lofty P/S. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Red Cat Holdings maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Electronic industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Red Cat Holdings (1 is potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.