DashboardPortfoliosWatchlistCommunityDiscoverScreener
NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION
Loading...
  • Stocks
  • /
  • Capital Goods
Updated 1d ago
RCAT logo

Red Cat Holdings, Inc.NasdaqCM:RCAT Stock Report

Market Cap US$1.2b
Updated 1d ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y-25.9%
7D-6.8%
1D-2.0%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Red Cat Holdings, Inc.

NasdaqCM:RCAT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.2b

  • Company Overview
    • Valuation
    • Future Growth
    • Past Performance
    • Financial Health
    • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Red Cat Holdings (RCAT) Stock Overview

Provides drone and robotic solutions for defense, national security, and commercial applications in the United States. More details

RCAT fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation0/6
Future Growth2/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Revenue is forecast to grow 43.32% per year

Risk Analysis

Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year

Significant insider selling over the past 3 months

Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years

Volatile share price over the past 3 months compared to the US market


RCAT Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 178 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
61.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•1mo ago

Autonomous Defense Systems And Maritime Expansion Will Support A Stable Long Term Outlook

954
0
42
AN
AnalystLowTarget
13.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•9d ago

Defense Contract And Margin Risks Will Dominate Before Autonomous Systems Tailwinds Eventually Emerge

198
0
6
AN
AnalystHighTarget
68.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•2mo ago

Defense Drone Demand And Maritime Expansion Will Drive Powerful Long Term Upside Potential

312
0
20

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
61.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•1mo ago

Autonomous Defense Systems And Maritime Expansion Will Support A Stable Long Term Outlook

954
0
42
AN
AnalystLowTarget
13.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•9d ago

Defense Contract And Margin Risks Will Dominate Before Autonomous Systems Tailwinds Eventually Emerge

198
0
6
AN
AnalystHighTarget
68.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•2mo ago

Defense Drone Demand And Maritime Expansion Will Drive Powerful Long Term Upside Potential

312
0
20
View all narratives

Red Cat Holdings, Inc. Competitors

Satellogic

Symbol: NasdaqCM:SATL
Market cap: US$736.4m

Cadre Holdings

Symbol: NYSE:CDRE
Market cap: US$1.2b

National Presto Industries

Symbol: NYSE:NPK
Market cap: US$1.1b

Intuitive Machines

Symbol: NasdaqGM:LUNR
Market cap: US$3.3b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Red Cat Holdings
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$7.80
52 Week HighUS$18.78
52 Week LowUS$5.77
Beta1.36
1 Month Change-29.92%
3 Month Change-28.44%
1 Year Change-25.86%
3 Year Change728.99%
5 Year Change234.76%
Change since IPO-1.52%

Recent News & Updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 05

RCAT: Drone Program Progress Balances Federal Demand With Award And Execution Risks

Red Cat Holdings' analyst price target framework has shifted from $15 to $9, as analysts weigh higher modeled revenue growth and a lower future P/E in relation to the latest initiation targets and calls for more validated government award activity. Analyst Commentary on Red Cat Holdings Recent Street research on Red Cat Holdings shows a split view.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 22

RCAT: Drone Dominance Program Progress Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Red Cat Holdings' updated analyst price target moves to $15 from $20 as analysts factor in sector wide multiple compression in defense and the impact of prior equity dilution, while still pointing to supportive company specific research on growth potential and margin expansion. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Red Cat Holdings shows a mix of constructive long term views and more cautious revisions to near term expectations.

Recent updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 05

RCAT: Drone Program Progress Balances Federal Demand With Award And Execution Risks

Red Cat Holdings' analyst price target framework has shifted from $15 to $9, as analysts weigh higher modeled revenue growth and a lower future P/E in relation to the latest initiation targets and calls for more validated government award activity. Analyst Commentary on Red Cat Holdings Recent Street research on Red Cat Holdings shows a split view.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 22

RCAT: Drone Dominance Program Progress Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Red Cat Holdings' updated analyst price target moves to $15 from $20 as analysts factor in sector wide multiple compression in defense and the impact of prior equity dilution, while still pointing to supportive company specific research on growth potential and margin expansion. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Red Cat Holdings shows a mix of constructive long term views and more cautious revisions to near term expectations.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 08

RCAT: Drone Dominance Progress And Defense Contracts Will Support Long Term Confidence

Analysts have lowered the Red Cat Holdings fair value estimate to $20 from $22, reflecting reduced price targets tied to sector wide multiple compression and dilution from the May equity offering, while still emphasizing generally positive views on the company’s growth potential. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Red Cat Holdings shows a mix of enthusiasm for the company’s positioning and caution around valuation reset and capital structure.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 24

RCAT: Drone Dominance Program Progress Will Drive Confidence In Long Term Contracts

The updated analyst price target for Red Cat Holdings moves from $17 to $22, as analysts factor in recent coverage initiations, expectations for higher long term profit margins, and a richer future P/E multiple, despite dilution from the May secondary equity offering. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Red Cat Holdings highlights a mix of optimism about long term growth potential and caution around dilution and execution against management targets.
Seeking Alpha • Jul 21

Red Cat: How To Pick A Winner In A Crowded Drone Market

Summary Red Cat Holdings offers high-upside potential in military and commercial drones, but execution and contract wins remain critical for upside realization. RCAT's Teal and Black Widow platforms demonstrate technical differentiation, especially in secure, modular, and GPS-denied operations, gaining validation in U.S. military selection programs. Valuation is stretched at 6.7x forward EV/sales, with the market pricing in significant revenue ramp and successful contract conversion over the next 12–24 months. I maintain a buy rating, contingent on RCAT translating strategic positioning into tangible, repeatable financial progress and improved execution in upcoming quarters. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 10

RCAT: Defense Drone Contracts Will Drive Long Term Upside Potential

Red Cat Holdings' analyst fair value estimate has shifted from $18 to $25, with analysts pointing to fresh Buy initiations, updated revenue growth and margin assumptions, and differing views on dilution from the recent secondary equity offering to explain the new price target level. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts covering Red Cat Holdings are generally aligned around a positive long term setup, with recent research focusing on the drone portfolio, production capacity, and longer term contract opportunities as key supports for the latest fair value estimates.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 26

RCAT: Drone Dominance Program Prospects Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted the Red Cat Holdings fair value estimate from $12 to $20. This change reflects updated assumptions around revenue potential, profit margins, dilution from the May equity offering, and new Buy-rated coverage with price targets between $19 and $25.
Analysis Article • Jun 19

Red Cat Holdings (RCAT) Stock Could Be 32.7% Undervalued After Hellcat Debut

Red Cat Holdings (RCAT) has introduced Hellcat, a dual-use small unmanned aircraft system built on its Black Widow platform and revealed at Eurosatory 2026, putting fresh attention on the stock’s defense and robotics positioning. See our latest analysis for Red Cat Holdings. The Hellcat unveiling comes as Red Cat Holdings’ share price trades at $11.44, with a 1 month share price return of 27.96% and year to date share price return of 24.89%. This is set against a 1 year total shareholder...
User avatar
New Narrative • Jan 22

Autonomous Defense Systems And Maritime Expansion Will Support A Stable Long Term Outlook

Catalysts About Red Cat Holdings Red Cat Holdings provides drone and unmanned surface vessel solutions primarily to defense and national security customers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Analysis Article • Mar 20

With A 39% Price Drop For Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:RCAT) You'll Still Get What You Pay For

The Red Cat Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:RCAT ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...

Shareholder Returns

RCATUS Aerospace & DefenseUS Market
7D-6.8%-3.9%-1.5%
1Y-25.9%6.9%13.3%

Return vs Industry: RCAT underperformed the US Aerospace & Defense industry which returned 6.9% over the past year.

Return vs Market: RCAT underperformed the US Market which returned 13.3% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is RCAT's price volatile compared to industry and market?
RCAT volatility
RCAT Average Weekly Movement12.1%
Aerospace & Defense Industry Average Movement8.9%
Market Average Movement6.9%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.3%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: RCAT's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: RCAT's weekly volatility (12%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
n/a244Jeff Thompsonredcat.red

Red Cat Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides drone and robotic solutions for defense, national security, and commercial applications in the United States. The company designs and manufactures small and tactical unmanned aircraft systems (UAS), such as BLACK WIDOW, a short-range reconnaissance war fighter with selectable integrated AI software capabilities; TEAL 2, a blue UAS product of defense used by combat soldiers, police officers, firefighters, wildlife managers, and industrial inspectors; and FANG, a first-person view small UAS. It also develops and produces long-endurance, vertical takeoff, and landing fixed-wing unmanned aircraft systems designed for extended-range intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance missions, such as THE EDGE 130.

Red Cat Holdings, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Red Cat Holdings's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
RCAT fundamental statistics
Market capUS$1.22b
Earnings (TTM)-US$97.48m
Revenue (TTM)US$71.54m
16.7x
P/S Ratio
-12.2x
P/E Ratio

Is RCAT overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
RCAT income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$71.54m
Cost of RevenueUS$64.57m
Gross ProfitUS$6.98m
Other ExpensesUS$104.46m
Earnings-US$97.48m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.64
Gross Margin9.75%
Net Profit Margin-136.26%
Debt/Equity Ratio0.2%

How did RCAT perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/14 01:10
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/14 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Red Cat Holdings, Inc. is covered by 10 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Amit DaryananiEvercore ISI
Amit DayalH.C. Wainwright & Co.
Jon HickmanLadenburg Thalmann & Company

Make Better Investing Decisions Anywhere

Scan to download
Open AppStoreOpen Google Play
Chrome Web Store
Level 5, 320 Pitt Street, Sydney
Financial Data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC, analysis provided by Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd. Copyright © 2026, S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. All rights reserved.
View Data Sources
Markets
  • US: NYSE & NASDAQ
  • UK: FTSE
  • Australia: ASX
  • India: NIFTY
  • Canada: TSX
  • South Africa: JSE
  • Japan: NIKKEI
  • South Korea: KOSPI
  • Germany: DAX
Investing Ideas
  • Undervalued Companies
  • Dividend Powerhouses
  • Insider Buying
  • Nuclear Energy
  • Autonomous Vehicles
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Crypto and Blockchain
  • Cybersecurity
  • More ideas
Stock Communities
  • AstraZeneca
  • HSBC Holdings
  • Shell
  • Unilever
  • Diageo
  • Rio Tinto Group
  • RELX
  • BP
  • Barclays
Features & Tools
  • Portfolio Tracker
  • Stock Screener & Alerts
  • Narratives & Fair Values
  • Dividend Calculator
News & Discovery
  • Latest Stock News
  • Global Market Insights
  • The Foxhole
  • Investing Ideas
  • Community Narratives
  • What's New
Simply Wall St
  • Plans & Pricing
  • Advertising
  • About Us
  • Contact Us
  • Careers
  • Help Center
  • Learn Stock Investing
  • Affiliate Program
  • Business & Enterprise
  • Charlie AI
Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd (ACN 600 056 611), is a Corporate Authorised Representative (Authorised Representative Number: 467183) of Sanlam Private Wealth Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 337927). Any advice contained in this website is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should not rely on any advice and/or information contained in this website and before making any investment decision we recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your situation and seek appropriate financial, taxation and legal advice. Please read our Financial Services Guide before deciding whether to obtain financial services from us.
© 2026 Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd, US Design Patent #29/544/281, Community and European Design Registration #2845206
  • Terms and Conditions
  • Privacy Policy
  • AI Terms
  • Financial Services Guide