Does NetApp’s (NTAP) Aggressive Buyback and Dividend Strategy Reveal a Shift in Capital Allocation?
- NetApp, Inc. recently reported first-quarter 2026 earnings with revenue of US$1.56 billion and net income of US$233 million, alongside affirming quarterly and annual earnings guidance, continuing share repurchases, and declaring a US$0.52 per share dividend payable in October 2025.
- A key insight is management's continued focus on returning value to shareholders through both dividends and significant buybacks, while maintaining growth in cloud, AI, and subscription-driven business segments.
- With another round of share buybacks and a sustained dividend, we'll explore how these capital return measures shape NetApp's investment narrative.
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NetApp Investment Narrative Recap
To be a NetApp shareholder today, you need to believe in the company’s ability to capture continued demand for AI, cloud, and subscription data infrastructure while offsetting mounting margin pressure from hyperscaler partnerships and a shift away from traditional storage products. The recent quarterly results and continued dividend affirmations reinforce NetApp’s focus on recurring revenues and shareholder returns, but they do not materially change the central catalyst, whether growth in cloud and AI can offset challenges in legacy segments, or the ongoing margin risk from cloud provider partnerships.
Among the recent developments, NetApp’s latest share repurchase update stands out: the company has now retired more than 98% of its announced buyback program. This action is an extension of its efforts to steward capital while attempting to support earnings per share, and is particularly relevant as the business pursues heightened growth in cloud and AI solutions, a key near-term narrative for investors weighing the value of returns today against future business transformation.
Yet, despite robust shareholder returns, it is important for investors to keep in mind the competitive margin pressures from hyperscaler alliances, which may...
Read the full narrative on NetApp (it's free!)
NetApp’s outlook anticipates $7.5 billion in revenue and $1.4 billion in earnings by 2028. This scenario assumes 4.3% annual revenue growth and a $0.2 billion earnings increase from current earnings of $1.2 billion.
Uncover how NetApp's forecasts yield a $118.29 fair value, in line with its current price.
Exploring Other Perspectives
Four Simply Wall St Community members peg NetApp’s fair value between US$118 and US$179, highlighting widely varied expectations. As many weigh upside from cloud and AI, remember persistent margin risks remain central to future performance so explore several viewpoints before deciding.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on NetApp - why the stock might be worth as much as 50% more than the current price!
Build Your Own NetApp Narrative
Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
- A great starting point for your NetApp research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
- Our free NetApp research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate NetApp's overall financial health at a glance.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if NetApp might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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