Stock Analysis

Revenues Not Telling The Story For Lantronix, Inc. (NASDAQ:LTRX) After Shares Rise 31%

NasdaqCM:LTRX
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Lantronix, Inc. (NASDAQ:LTRX) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 14% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Lantronix's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in the United States' Communications industry. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for Lantronix

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:LTRX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 13th 2024

How Has Lantronix Performed Recently?

Recent times have been advantageous for Lantronix as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Lantronix will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Lantronix's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Lantronix's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 22% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 124% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 6.0% each year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 9.3% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Lantronix is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does Lantronix's P/S Mean For Investors?

Lantronix's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Given that Lantronix's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Lantronix that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of Lantronix's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.