Lantronix, Inc. (NASDAQ:LTRX) Consensus Forecasts Have Become A Little Darker Since Its Latest Report

As you might know, Lantronix, Inc. (NASDAQ:LTRX) last week released its latest quarterly, and things did not turn out so great for shareholders. Revenues missed expectations somewhat, coming in at US$29m, but statutory earnings fell catastrophically short, with a loss of US$0.10 some 88% larger than what the analysts had predicted. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

Our free stock report includes 1 warning sign investors should be aware of before investing in Lantronix. Read for free now.

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus, from the five analysts covering Lantronix, is for revenues of US$126.5m in 2026. This implies a not inconsiderable 12% reduction in Lantronix's revenue over the past 12 months. Earnings are expected to improve, with Lantronix forecast to report a statutory profit of US$0.057 per share. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$139.0m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.21 in 2026. The analysts seem less optimistic after the recent results, reducing their revenue forecasts and making a pretty serious reduction to earnings per share numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for Lantronix

The consensus price target fell 7.1% to US$5.20, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading valuation estimates. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Lantronix at US$8.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$4.00. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 9.4% by the end of 2026. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 20% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 7.3% per year. It's pretty clear that Lantronix's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Lantronix. On the negative side, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Lantronix analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Lantronix that you need to take into consideration.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.