Stock Analysis

Is Lantronix (NASDAQ:LTRX) A Risky Investment?

NasdaqCM:LTRX
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Lantronix, Inc. (NASDAQ:LTRX) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Lantronix

How Much Debt Does Lantronix Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Lantronix had debt of US$22.4m at the end of September 2022, a reduction from US$28.6m over a year. However, it does have US$13.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$9.31m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:LTRX Debt to Equity History January 31st 2023

How Strong Is Lantronix's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Lantronix had liabilities of US$40.2m due within a year, and liabilities of US$30.2m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$13.1m as well as receivables valued at US$27.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$29.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Lantronix shares are worth a total of US$175.4m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Lantronix can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year Lantronix wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 63%, to US$134m. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

Caveat Emptor

Even though Lantronix managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost US$2.2m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$17m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Lantronix (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.