Stock Analysis

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Identiv, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:INVE) Shares

NasdaqCM:INVE
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It's not a stretch to say that Identiv, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:INVE) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Electronic industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Identiv

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:INVE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 16th 2024

What Does Identiv's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With its revenue growth in positive territory compared to the declining revenue of most other companies, Identiv has been doing quite well of late. Perhaps the market is expecting its current strong performance to taper off in accordance to the rest of the industry, which has kept the P/S contained. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Identiv will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Identiv?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Identiv would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 3.5% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 44% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 7.2% each year as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 18% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Identiv is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of Identiv's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Identiv that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.