Stock Analysis

Is Casa Systems (NASDAQ:CASA) Using Too Much Debt?

OTCPK:CASS.Q
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Casa Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CASA) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Casa Systems

How Much Debt Does Casa Systems Carry?

As you can see below, Casa Systems had US$274.7m of debt, at September 2022, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$193.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$81.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:CASA Debt to Equity History February 5th 2023

How Strong Is Casa Systems' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Casa Systems had liabilities of US$97.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$297.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$193.5m in cash and US$49.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$152.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Casa Systems is worth US$352.9m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Casa Systems's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Casa Systems made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$307m, which is a fall of 26%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Casa Systems's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$50m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of US$79m into a profit. In the meantime, we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Casa Systems has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.