Stock Analysis

Is CalAmp (NASDAQ:CAMP) Using Too Much Debt?

OTCPK:CAMP.Q
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, CalAmp Corp. (NASDAQ:CAMP) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Our analysis indicates that CAMP is potentially overvalued!

What Is CalAmp's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of August 2022 CalAmp had US$228.7m of debt, an increase on US$189.0m, over one year. On the flip side, it has US$47.7m in cash leading to net debt of about US$181.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:CAMP Debt to Equity History November 8th 2022

How Strong Is CalAmp's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, CalAmp had liabilities of US$90.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$258.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$47.7m in cash and US$74.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$226.7m.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$127.5m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, CalAmp would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CalAmp's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, CalAmp made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$275m, which is a fall of 14%. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did CalAmp's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$23m at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of US$52m over the last twelve months. That means it's on the risky side of things. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for CalAmp (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.