Stock Analysis

Xperi Inc.'s (NYSE:XPER) Share Price Is Matching Sentiment Around Its Revenues

NYSE:XPER
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Xperi Inc.'s (NYSE:XPER) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.5x and even P/S above 11x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Xperi

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:XPER Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 18th 2024

How Xperi Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for Xperi as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Xperi will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Xperi's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 5.7%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 38% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 2.5% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 15% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Xperi's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Xperi's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Xperi that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Xperi is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.