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Subdued Growth No Barrier To Unity Software Inc. (NYSE:U) With Shares Advancing 37%
Despite an already strong run, Unity Software Inc. (NYSE:U) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 37% in the last thirty days. The last month tops off a massive increase of 176% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, Unity Software may be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 10.4x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 5.2x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Unity Software
What Does Unity Software's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Unity Software could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting the poor revenue to reverse, justifying it's current high P/S.. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Unity Software.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Unity Software would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 14%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 46% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 9.3% per annum over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 36% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this information, we find it concerning that Unity Software is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What Does Unity Software's P/S Mean For Investors?
The strong share price surge has lead to Unity Software's P/S soaring as well. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've concluded that Unity Software currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Unity Software.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:U
Unity Software
Operates a platform to create and grow games and interactive experiences for mobile phones, PCs, consoles, and extended reality devices in the United States, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Canada, and Latin America.
Excellent balance sheet with very low risk.
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