Shopify Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Shopify is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 48.1% and 16.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 49% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 19.5% in 3 years.
Key information
48.1%
Earnings growth rate
49.0%
EPS growth rate
IT earnings growth | 17.5% |
Revenue growth rate | 16.9% |
Future return on equity | 19.5% |
Analyst coverage | Good |
Last updated | 28 Jun 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Shopify (NYSE:SHOP)
Jun 28Buy Shopify Before The Rebound (Technical Analysis)
Jun 24Shopify: Beyond The Short-Term Noise, A Long-Term Growth Story, Buy
Jun 06Shopify: The Powerhouse Of Next-Generation Commerce
May 20Shopify: Multiple Compression Should Matter In Coming Years
May 06Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet
May 03Shopify Direct Sales Should Win As Amazon Shifts Toward 'Pay To Play' Model
Apr 29The Price Is Right For Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP)
Apr 02Shopify: Aggressive Expansion Path
Mar 25Is Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP) Expensive For A Reason? A Look At Its Intrinsic Value
Mar 18Shopify: Way Too Cheap For What's Coming
Mar 17Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
Mar 03Shopify: Disappointing Free Cash Flow Guidance, An Opportunity For Growth Investors
Feb 23Shopify Is Succeeding With Their Merchants
Feb 16Shopify: A Sanity Check Is Overdue (Rating Downgrade)
Feb 07Shopify: Strength Through Partnerships
Feb 01Shopify: It's Just Math, Decade Of Underperformance Ahead
Jan 18The 'New' Shopify Is Here
Jan 09Shopify: 3 Reasons To Buy In 2024
Jan 03What You Can Learn From Shopify Inc.'s (NYSE:SHOP) P/S
Dec 31Shopify Is A Special Company
Dec 11Is Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Dec 10Shopify As An Operating System For E-Commerce
Dec 03Shopify's Q3 Earnings Beat The Odds: Is The Stock Still Overpriced Or Worth Every Penny?
Nov 06Shopify: Financial Discipline Is Taking Hold
Oct 31Shopify: Riding High On Promising Future Growth
Oct 13Shopify: Bull Run Is Likely Over
Sep 27Shopify Will Weather Cyclical Headwinds With 3 Factors Reinforcing Its Strengthening Moat
Sep 12Does Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Sep 11Shopify Can Surprise With Better Growth Trajectory
Aug 31Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP)
Aug 21Shopify: Soaring Profits With A 2-Pronged Approach
Aug 19Make No Mistake, Shopify's AI Opportunities Are Massive (Rating Upgrade)
Aug 13Revolutionary Q2 2023 Results Cement Shopify's Ecommerce Dominance
Aug 04Shopify Stock Is A Speculative Buy Before Earnings
Jul 25Shopify: The Rally Went Too Far
Jul 13Shopify: Living On Past Glory
Jul 07Shopify Inc.'s (NYSE:SHOP) Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors
Jun 22Shopify: Downgrading On Amazon Risks
Jun 19Shopify: Many Concerns Remain
Jun 13Is Shopify Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold After Going Up Over 50% This Year?
Jun 07Does Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Feb 24Shopify's Powerful Expansion Beyond E-Commerce
Feb 22Shopify: Closing In On Amazon 1P
Feb 16Shopify Stock Q4 Earnings Preview: What To Watch For
Feb 10Shopify: Epic Recovery Possibly Ahead
Jan 31Shopify's Runway Ahead
Jan 23Shopify: Right Company At The Wrong Price
Jan 17Shopify Is Not Afraid To Take On Amazon
Jan 11Shopify: Industry Disruptor With 60%+ Margin Of Safety
Dec 28Shopify: Expansion Into Advertising Makes It A Buy
Dec 21Shopify: Time For A Pause - No Margin Of Safety Here
Dec 10Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP)?
Nov 23Shopify Is Adjusting To A Challenging Landscape
Nov 02Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/31/2026 | 12,544 | 1,768 | 2,346 | 2,440 | 18 |
12/31/2025 | 10,261 | 1,191 | 1,684 | 1,781 | 45 |
12/31/2024 | 8,536 | 427 | 1,251 | 1,278 | 44 |
3/31/2024 | 7,413 | -209 | 1,051 | 1,082 | N/A |
12/31/2023 | 7,060 | 132 | 905 | 944 | N/A |
9/30/2023 | 6,651 | -1,148 | 549 | 594 | N/A |
6/30/2023 | 6,303 | -2,025 | 125 | 182 | N/A |
3/31/2023 | 5,904 | -1,918 | -59 | -11 | N/A |
12/31/2022 | 5,600 | -3,460 | -186 | -136 | N/A |
9/30/2022 | 5,245 | -3,208 | -10 | 58 | N/A |
6/30/2022 | 5,003 | -1,901 | 168 | 234 | N/A |
3/31/2022 | 4,827 | 182 | 313 | 375 | N/A |
12/31/2021 | 4,612 | 2,915 | 485 | 536 | N/A |
9/30/2021 | 4,210 | 3,410 | 458 | 489 | N/A |
6/30/2021 | 3,853 | 2,452 | 507 | 537 | N/A |
3/31/2021 | 3,448 | 1,609 | 615 | 646 | N/A |
12/31/2020 | 2,929 | 320 | 383 | 425 | N/A |
9/30/2020 | 2,457 | 196 | 183 | 232 | N/A |
6/30/2020 | 2,080 | -67 | 58 | 113 | N/A |
3/31/2020 | 1,728 | -132 | -107 | -39 | N/A |
12/31/2019 | 1,578 | -125 | 8 | 71 | N/A |
9/30/2019 | 1,417 | -127 | -31 | 27 | N/A |
6/30/2019 | 1,296 | -78 | 10 | 60 | N/A |
3/31/2019 | 1,179 | -73 | -6 | 36 | N/A |
12/31/2018 | 1,073 | -65 | -32 | 9 | N/A |
9/30/2018 | 952 | -66 | -26 | 19 | N/A |
6/30/2018 | 854 | -52 | -31 | 10 | N/A |
3/31/2018 | 760 | -42 | -30 | 2 | N/A |
12/31/2017 | 673 | -40 | N/A | 8 | N/A |
9/30/2017 | 581 | -46 | N/A | -4 | N/A |
6/30/2017 | 509 | -46 | N/A | 3 | N/A |
3/31/2017 | 444 | -40 | N/A | 17 | N/A |
12/31/2016 | 389 | -35 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
9/30/2016 | 329 | -33 | N/A | 12 | N/A |
6/30/2016 | 282 | -28 | N/A | 11 | N/A |
3/31/2016 | 241 | -23 | N/A | 12 | N/A |
12/31/2015 | 205 | -19 | N/A | 16 | N/A |
9/30/2015 | 170 | -17 | N/A | 15 | N/A |
6/30/2015 | 145 | -17 | N/A | 13 | N/A |
3/31/2015 | 124 | -20 | N/A | 4 | N/A |
12/31/2014 | 105 | -22 | N/A | -1 | N/A |
12/31/2013 | 50 | -5 | N/A | 1 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: SHOP is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.4%).
Earnings vs Market: SHOP is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: SHOP is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: SHOP's revenue (16.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.7% per year).
High Growth Revenue: SHOP's revenue (16.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: SHOP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (19.5%).