Shopify Inc.

NasdaqGS:SHOP Stock Report

Market Cap: US$220.7b

Shopify Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Shopify is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 22.2% and 19.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 21.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 17.8% in 3 years.

Key information

22.2%

Earnings growth rate

21.38%

EPS growth rate

IT earnings growth19.6%
Revenue growth rate19.2%
Future return on equity17.79%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated19 Dec 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Shopify: The Agentic AI Tailwind No One Is Pricing In

Dec 10

Optimistic Investors Push Shopify Inc. (NASDAQ:SHOP) Shares Up 33% But Growth Is Lacking

Aug 11
Optimistic Investors Push Shopify Inc. (NASDAQ:SHOP) Shares Up 33% But Growth Is Lacking
User avatar

Global Entrepreneurship And Online Retail Will Unlock Future Expansion

Global ecommerce trends, international expansion, and platform localization are driving strong merchant growth, revenue diversification, and improved onboarding for Shopify.

Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Shopify (NASDAQ:SHOP)

Apr 23
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Shopify (NASDAQ:SHOP)

Shopify: Why Holding The Line Still Makes Sense Amid Market Uncertainty

Apr 19

Shopify Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SHOP) 28% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues

Apr 05
Shopify Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SHOP) 28% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues

Shopify: Don't Overthink The Buying Opportunity

Mar 30

Shopify: The Price Of Perfection

Mar 21

Shopify's Growth Story: Direct-To-Consumer Enabler For Independent Brands

Feb 18

Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP) Stocks Shoot Up 26% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

Feb 14
Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP) Stocks Shoot Up 26% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

Shopify: Raising My Price Target On Accelerating Growth

Feb 12

Shopify Should Beat Q4 Earnings, But Tariff Risks Are A Concern

Feb 04

Shopify: Outperforming Even My Most Bullish Expectations

Jan 13

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Shopify Inc.'s (NYSE:SHOP) Price

Dec 30
Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Shopify Inc.'s (NYSE:SHOP) Price

Growing Top-Line One Merchant At A Time: Shopify - Initiating With A Buy

Dec 24

Shopify Stock Is A Black Friday Beneficiary That Faces Key Test In Q4

Dec 10

Shopify: Wait For The Buy Zone

Nov 22
User avatar

Narrative update from Goran Damchevski

Shopify is executing on its core business and growing above my 18% estimates.

Can Shopify Re-Rate Higher After The Q3 2024 Earnings Outperformance Rally?

Nov 12

Shopify: One Of The Best E-Commerce Platforms But Too Expensive

Oct 28

Shopify: More Upside Ahead, But Look For Exits Soon (Rating Downgrade)

Oct 16

Shopify: There Is A Light At The End Of The Tunnel (Rating Upgrade)

Oct 03

How Shopify Is Disrupting Lending And Driving Massive Stock Growth

Sep 27

Shopify: Optimistic Guidance Drives A Sharp Rise In Stock Price

Sep 13

Shopify Continues Increasing Operating Income

Sep 06
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Expanding Global Reach And Product Suite Positions Company For Robust Revenue Surge

Shopify's expansion in international markets and product ranges is significantly growing its global market share, promising higher revenue.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:SHOP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202717,2572,6253,2893,30132
12/31/202614,1581,9982,6302,58848
12/31/202511,4661,0431,9672,00445
9/30/202510,6961,7811,9031,923N/A
6/30/202510,0142,3451,8171,833N/A
3/31/20259,3791,6101,7281,745N/A
12/31/20248,8802,0191,5971,616N/A
9/30/20248,2121,3831,4321,449N/A
6/30/20247,7641,2731,2871,304N/A
3/31/20247,413-2091,0511,082N/A
12/31/20237,060132905944N/A
9/30/20236,651-1,148549594N/A
6/30/20236,303-2,025125182N/A
3/31/20235,904-1,918-59-11N/A
12/31/20225,600-3,460-186-136N/A
9/30/20225,245-3,208-1058N/A
6/30/20225,003-1,901168234N/A
3/31/20224,827182313375N/A
12/31/20214,6122,915485536N/A
9/30/20214,2103,410458489N/A
6/30/20213,8532,452507537N/A
3/31/20213,4481,609615646N/A
12/31/20202,929320383425N/A
9/30/20202,457196183232N/A
6/30/20202,080-6758113N/A
3/31/20201,728-132-107-39N/A
12/31/20191,578-125871N/A
9/30/20191,417-127-3127N/A
6/30/20191,296-78N/A60N/A
3/31/20191,179-73N/A36N/A
12/31/20181,073-65N/A9N/A
9/30/2018952-66N/A19N/A
6/30/2018854-52N/A10N/A
3/31/2018760-42N/A2N/A
12/31/2017673-40N/A8N/A
9/30/2017581-46N/A-4N/A
6/30/2017509-46N/A3N/A
3/31/2017444-40N/A17N/A
12/31/2016389-35N/A14N/A
9/30/2016329-33N/A12N/A
6/30/2016282-28N/A11N/A
3/31/2016241-23N/A12N/A
12/31/2015205-19N/A16N/A
9/30/2015170-17N/A15N/A
6/30/2015145-17N/A13N/A
3/31/2015124-20N/A4N/A
12/31/2014105-22N/A-1N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SHOP's forecast earnings growth (22.2% per year) is above the savings rate (3.3%).

Earnings vs Market: SHOP's earnings (22.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (16.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: SHOP's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: SHOP's revenue (19.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (10.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SHOP's revenue (19.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SHOP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (17.8%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/12/24 18:52
End of Day Share Price 2025/12/23 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Shopify Inc. is covered by 82 analysts. 48 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harshit GuptaAccountability Research Corporation
Oliver LesterArete Research Services LLP
Richard KramerArete Research Services LLP