Shopify Inc.

NYSE:SHOP Stock Report

Market Cap: US$139.8b

Shopify Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Shopify is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 17.6% and 19.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 15.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 22.2% in 3 years.

Key information

17.6%

Earnings growth rate

15.7%

EPS growth rate

IT earnings growth14.4%
Revenue growth rate19.4%
Future return on equity22.2%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated19 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Shopify Inc.'s (NYSE:SHOP) Price

Dec 30
Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Shopify Inc.'s (NYSE:SHOP) Price

Growing Top-Line One Merchant At A Time: Shopify - Initiating With A Buy

Dec 24

Is Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) A Risky Investment?

Dec 14
Is Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) A Risky Investment?

Shopify Stock Is A Black Friday Beneficiary That Faces Key Test In Q4

Dec 10

Shopify: Wait For The Buy Zone

Nov 22

Can Shopify Re-Rate Higher After The Q3 2024 Earnings Outperformance Rally?

Nov 12

Shopify: One Of The Best E-Commerce Platforms But Too Expensive

Oct 28

Estimating The Fair Value Of Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP)

Oct 18
Estimating The Fair Value Of Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP)

Shopify: More Upside Ahead, But Look For Exits Soon (Rating Downgrade)

Oct 16

Shopify: There Is A Light At The End Of The Tunnel (Rating Upgrade)

Oct 03

How Shopify Is Disrupting Lending And Driving Massive Stock Growth

Sep 27

Shopify: Optimistic Guidance Drives A Sharp Rise In Stock Price

Sep 13

Shopify Continues Increasing Operating Income

Sep 06

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Shopify Inc.'s (NYSE:SHOP) 36% Share Price Surge

Sep 01
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Shopify Inc.'s (NYSE:SHOP) 36% Share Price Surge

Shopify's Unseen Advantage: Strong Earnings In A Weak Consumer Environment

Aug 22

Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of

Aug 20
Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of

Shopify: Strong Returns Still Ahead, Buy Before It's Too Late

Aug 16

Shopify: Solid Value For Growth Investors

Aug 09

Shopify Q2 Earnings Preview: Don't Ignore The Enterprise Customer Tailwind

Jul 29

Shopify: The Market Leader Deserves A Premium

Jul 19

Revenues Tell The Story For Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP)

Jul 16
Revenues Tell The Story For Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP)

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Shopify (NYSE:SHOP)

Jun 28
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Shopify (NYSE:SHOP)

Buy Shopify Before The Rebound (Technical Analysis)

Jun 24

Shopify: Beyond The Short-Term Noise, A Long-Term Growth Story, Buy

Jun 06

Shopify: The Powerhouse Of Next-Generation Commerce

May 20

Shopify: Multiple Compression Should Matter In Coming Years

May 06

Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

May 03
Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

Shopify Direct Sales Should Win As Amazon Shifts Toward 'Pay To Play' Model

Apr 29

The Price Is Right For Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP)

Apr 02
The Price Is Right For Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP)

Shopify: Aggressive Expansion Path

Mar 25

Is Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP) Expensive For A Reason? A Look At Its Intrinsic Value

Mar 18
Is Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP) Expensive For A Reason? A Look At Its Intrinsic Value

Shopify: Way Too Cheap For What's Coming

Mar 17

Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

Mar 03
Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

Shopify: Disappointing Free Cash Flow Guidance, An Opportunity For Growth Investors

Feb 23

Shopify Is Succeeding With Their Merchants

Feb 16

Shopify: A Sanity Check Is Overdue (Rating Downgrade)

Feb 07

Shopify: Strength Through Partnerships

Feb 01

Shopify: It's Just Math, Decade Of Underperformance Ahead

Jan 18

The 'New' Shopify Is Here

Jan 09

Shopify: 3 Reasons To Buy In 2024

Jan 03

What You Can Learn From Shopify Inc.'s (NYSE:SHOP) P/S

Dec 31
What You Can Learn From Shopify Inc.'s (NYSE:SHOP) P/S

Shopify Is A Special Company

Dec 11

Shopify As An Operating System For E-Commerce

Dec 03

Shopify's Q3 Earnings Beat The Odds: Is The Stock Still Overpriced Or Worth Every Penny?

Nov 06

Shopify: Financial Discipline Is Taking Hold

Oct 31

Shopify: Riding High On Promising Future Growth

Oct 13

Shopify: Bull Run Is Likely Over

Sep 27

Shopify Will Weather Cyclical Headwinds With 3 Factors Reinforcing Its Strengthening Moat

Sep 12

Shopify Can Surprise With Better Growth Trajectory

Aug 31

Shopify: Soaring Profits With A 2-Pronged Approach

Aug 19

Make No Mistake, Shopify's AI Opportunities Are Massive (Rating Upgrade)

Aug 13

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:SHOP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202613,0121,9632,4742,50429
12/31/202510,7751,4671,9772,00746
12/31/20248,7951,1731,5401,55844
9/30/20248,2121,3831,4321,449N/A
6/30/20247,7641,2731,2871,304N/A
3/31/20247,413-2091,0511,082N/A
12/31/20237,060132905944N/A
9/30/20236,651-1,148549594N/A
6/30/20236,303-2,025125182N/A
3/31/20235,904-1,918-59-11N/A
12/31/20225,600-3,460-186-136N/A
9/30/20225,245-3,208-1058N/A
6/30/20225,003-1,901168234N/A
3/31/20224,827182313375N/A
12/31/20214,6122,915485536N/A
9/30/20214,2103,410458489N/A
6/30/20213,8532,452507537N/A
3/31/20213,4481,609615646N/A
12/31/20202,929320383425N/A
9/30/20202,457196183232N/A
6/30/20202,080-6758113N/A
3/31/20201,728-132-107-39N/A
12/31/20191,578-125871N/A
9/30/20191,417-127-3127N/A
6/30/20191,296-781060N/A
3/31/20191,179-73-636N/A
12/31/20181,073-65-329N/A
9/30/2018952-66-2619N/A
6/30/2018854-52N/A10N/A
3/31/2018760-42N/A2N/A
12/31/2017673-40N/A8N/A
9/30/2017581-46N/A-4N/A
6/30/2017509-46N/A3N/A
3/31/2017444-40N/A17N/A
12/31/2016389-35N/A14N/A
9/30/2016329-33N/A12N/A
6/30/2016282-28N/A11N/A
3/31/2016241-23N/A12N/A
12/31/2015205-19N/A16N/A
9/30/2015170-17N/A15N/A
6/30/2015145-17N/A13N/A
3/31/2015124-20N/A4N/A
12/31/2014105-22N/A-1N/A
12/31/201350-5N/A1N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SHOP's forecast earnings growth (17.6% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: SHOP's earnings (17.6% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: SHOP's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: SHOP's revenue (19.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SHOP's revenue (19.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SHOP's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (22.2%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/30 23:01
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/30 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Shopify Inc. is covered by 80 analysts. 46 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harshit GuptaAccountability Research Corporation
Richard KramerArete Research Services LLP
Rocco StraussArete Research Services LLP