Shopify Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Shopify is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 17.2% and 18.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 15.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 22.2% in 3 years.
Key information
17.2%
Earnings growth rate
15.1%
EPS growth rate
IT earnings growth | 14.9% |
Revenue growth rate | 18.3% |
Future return on equity | 22.2% |
Analyst coverage | Good |
Last updated | 18 Nov 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Can Shopify Re-Rate Higher After The Q3 2024 Earnings Outperformance Rally?
Nov 12Shopify: One Of The Best E-Commerce Platforms But Too Expensive
Oct 28Estimating The Fair Value Of Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP)
Oct 18Shopify: More Upside Ahead, But Look For Exits Soon (Rating Downgrade)
Oct 16Shopify: There Is A Light At The End Of The Tunnel (Rating Upgrade)
Oct 03How Shopify Is Disrupting Lending And Driving Massive Stock Growth
Sep 27Shopify: Optimistic Guidance Drives A Sharp Rise In Stock Price
Sep 13Shopify Continues Increasing Operating Income
Sep 06Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Shopify Inc.'s (NYSE:SHOP) 36% Share Price Surge
Sep 01Shopify's Unseen Advantage: Strong Earnings In A Weak Consumer Environment
Aug 22Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of
Aug 20Shopify: Strong Returns Still Ahead, Buy Before It's Too Late
Aug 16Shopify: Solid Value For Growth Investors
Aug 09Shopify Q2 Earnings Preview: Don't Ignore The Enterprise Customer Tailwind
Jul 29Shopify: The Market Leader Deserves A Premium
Jul 19Revenues Tell The Story For Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP)
Jul 16We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Shopify (NYSE:SHOP)
Jun 28Buy Shopify Before The Rebound (Technical Analysis)
Jun 24Shopify: Beyond The Short-Term Noise, A Long-Term Growth Story, Buy
Jun 06Shopify: The Powerhouse Of Next-Generation Commerce
May 20Shopify: Multiple Compression Should Matter In Coming Years
May 06Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet
May 03Shopify Direct Sales Should Win As Amazon Shifts Toward 'Pay To Play' Model
Apr 29The Price Is Right For Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP)
Apr 02Shopify: Aggressive Expansion Path
Mar 25Is Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP) Expensive For A Reason? A Look At Its Intrinsic Value
Mar 18Shopify: Way Too Cheap For What's Coming
Mar 17Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
Mar 03Shopify: Disappointing Free Cash Flow Guidance, An Opportunity For Growth Investors
Feb 23Shopify Is Succeeding With Their Merchants
Feb 16Shopify: A Sanity Check Is Overdue (Rating Downgrade)
Feb 07Shopify: Strength Through Partnerships
Feb 01Shopify: It's Just Math, Decade Of Underperformance Ahead
Jan 18The 'New' Shopify Is Here
Jan 09Shopify: 3 Reasons To Buy In 2024
Jan 03What You Can Learn From Shopify Inc.'s (NYSE:SHOP) P/S
Dec 31Shopify Is A Special Company
Dec 11Is Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Dec 10Shopify As An Operating System For E-Commerce
Dec 03Shopify's Q3 Earnings Beat The Odds: Is The Stock Still Overpriced Or Worth Every Penny?
Nov 06Shopify: Financial Discipline Is Taking Hold
Oct 31Shopify: Riding High On Promising Future Growth
Oct 13Shopify: Bull Run Is Likely Over
Sep 27Shopify Will Weather Cyclical Headwinds With 3 Factors Reinforcing Its Strengthening Moat
Sep 12Does Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Sep 11Shopify Can Surprise With Better Growth Trajectory
Aug 31Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP)
Aug 21Shopify: Soaring Profits With A 2-Pronged Approach
Aug 19Make No Mistake, Shopify's AI Opportunities Are Massive (Rating Upgrade)
Aug 13Revolutionary Q2 2023 Results Cement Shopify's Ecommerce Dominance
Aug 04Shopify Stock Is A Speculative Buy Before Earnings
Jul 25Shopify: The Rally Went Too Far
Jul 13Shopify: Living On Past Glory
Jul 07Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/31/2026 | 12,925 | 1,929 | 2,465 | 2,492 | 29 |
12/31/2025 | 10,733 | 1,443 | 1,956 | 1,997 | 46 |
12/31/2024 | 8,794 | 1,167 | 1,539 | 1,558 | 40 |
9/30/2024 | 8,212 | 1,383 | 1,432 | 1,449 | N/A |
6/30/2024 | 7,764 | 1,273 | 1,287 | 1,304 | N/A |
3/31/2024 | 7,413 | -209 | 1,051 | 1,082 | N/A |
12/31/2023 | 7,060 | 132 | 905 | 944 | N/A |
9/30/2023 | 6,651 | -1,148 | 549 | 594 | N/A |
6/30/2023 | 6,303 | -2,025 | 125 | 182 | N/A |
3/31/2023 | 5,904 | -1,918 | -59 | -11 | N/A |
12/31/2022 | 5,600 | -3,460 | -186 | -136 | N/A |
9/30/2022 | 5,245 | -3,208 | -10 | 58 | N/A |
6/30/2022 | 5,003 | -1,901 | 168 | 234 | N/A |
3/31/2022 | 4,827 | 182 | 313 | 375 | N/A |
12/31/2021 | 4,612 | 2,915 | 485 | 536 | N/A |
9/30/2021 | 4,210 | 3,410 | 458 | 489 | N/A |
6/30/2021 | 3,853 | 2,452 | 507 | 537 | N/A |
3/31/2021 | 3,448 | 1,609 | 615 | 646 | N/A |
12/31/2020 | 2,929 | 320 | 383 | 425 | N/A |
9/30/2020 | 2,457 | 196 | 183 | 232 | N/A |
6/30/2020 | 2,080 | -67 | 58 | 113 | N/A |
3/31/2020 | 1,728 | -132 | -107 | -39 | N/A |
12/31/2019 | 1,578 | -125 | 8 | 71 | N/A |
9/30/2019 | 1,417 | -127 | -31 | 27 | N/A |
6/30/2019 | 1,296 | -78 | 10 | 60 | N/A |
3/31/2019 | 1,179 | -73 | -6 | 36 | N/A |
12/31/2018 | 1,073 | -65 | -32 | 9 | N/A |
9/30/2018 | 952 | -66 | -26 | 19 | N/A |
6/30/2018 | 854 | -52 | N/A | 10 | N/A |
3/31/2018 | 760 | -42 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
12/31/2017 | 673 | -40 | N/A | 8 | N/A |
9/30/2017 | 581 | -46 | N/A | -4 | N/A |
6/30/2017 | 509 | -46 | N/A | 3 | N/A |
3/31/2017 | 444 | -40 | N/A | 17 | N/A |
12/31/2016 | 389 | -35 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
9/30/2016 | 329 | -33 | N/A | 12 | N/A |
6/30/2016 | 282 | -28 | N/A | 11 | N/A |
3/31/2016 | 241 | -23 | N/A | 12 | N/A |
12/31/2015 | 205 | -19 | N/A | 16 | N/A |
9/30/2015 | 170 | -17 | N/A | 15 | N/A |
6/30/2015 | 145 | -17 | N/A | 13 | N/A |
3/31/2015 | 124 | -20 | N/A | 4 | N/A |
12/31/2014 | 105 | -22 | N/A | -1 | N/A |
12/31/2013 | 50 | -5 | N/A | 1 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: SHOP's forecast earnings growth (17.2% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).
Earnings vs Market: SHOP's earnings (17.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.4% per year).
High Growth Earnings: SHOP's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: SHOP's revenue (18.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: SHOP's revenue (18.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: SHOP's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (22.2%)