Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Rubrik, Inc. (NYSE:RBRK) After Its Annual Results

Shareholders will be ecstatic, with their stake up 23% over the past week following Rubrik, Inc.'s (NYSE:RBRK) latest full-year results. It looks like a positive result overall, with revenues of US$887m beating forecasts by 2.9%. Statutory losses of US$7.48 per share were roughly in line with what the analysts had forecast. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

See our latest analysis for Rubrik

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Rubrik from 21 analysts is for revenues of US$1.16b in 2026. If met, it would imply a huge 30% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. The loss per share is expected to greatly reduce in the near future, narrowing 54% to US$2.87. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$1.11b and losses of US$2.90 per share in 2026.

The consensus price target held steady at US$77.91despite the upgrade to revenue forecasts and ongoing losses. The analysts seems to think the business is otherwise performing roughly in line with expectations. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic Rubrik analyst has a price target of US$90.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$47.00. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Rubrik's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 30% annualised growth to the end of 2026 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 18% per annum over the past three years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 12% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Rubrik to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts reconfirmed their loss per share estimates for next year. Pleasantly, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and their forecasts suggest the business is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$77.91, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Rubrik going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here..

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Rubrik (1 is potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.