Stock Analysis

We Think Q2 Holdings (NYSE:QTWO) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

NYSE:QTWO
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Q2 Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:QTWO) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Q2 Holdings

How Much Debt Does Q2 Holdings Carry?

As you can see below, Q2 Holdings had US$489.0m of debt at March 2023, down from US$666.7m a year prior. On the flip side, it has US$271.7m in cash leading to net debt of about US$217.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:QTWO Debt to Equity History May 17th 2023

How Strong Is Q2 Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Q2 Holdings had liabilities of US$176.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$568.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$271.7m as well as receivables valued at US$49.6m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$423.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Q2 Holdings is worth US$1.51b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Q2 Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Q2 Holdings reported revenue of US$585m, which is a gain of 13%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Q2 Holdings produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost US$103m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of US$86m. So to be blunt we do think it is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Q2 Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.