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Pinning Down Q2 Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:QTWO) P/S Is Difficult Right Now
You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.8x Q2 Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:QTWO) is a stock to avoid completely, seeing as almost half of all the Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.8x and even P/S lower than 1.7x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
See our latest analysis for Q2 Holdings
What Does Q2 Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Q2 Holdings could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will improve markedly. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Q2 Holdings.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
Q2 Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 9.5% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 45% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 12% as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 25% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
In light of this, it's alarming that Q2 Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Q2 Holdings, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Q2 Holdings has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Q2 Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:QTWO
Q2 Holdings
Provides cloud-based digital solutions to regional and community financial institutions in the United States.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.