Stock Analysis

Here's Why PowerSchool Holdings (NYSE:PWSC) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

NYSE:PWSC
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that PowerSchool Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PWSC) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for PowerSchool Holdings

What Is PowerSchool Holdings's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, PowerSchool Holdings had US$819.7m of debt, up from US$736.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had US$39.1m in cash, and so its net debt is US$780.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:PWSC Debt to Equity History March 21st 2024

How Healthy Is PowerSchool Holdings' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, PowerSchool Holdings had liabilities of US$516.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.50b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$39.1m as well as receivables valued at US$76.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$1.91b.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since PowerSchool Holdings has a market capitalization of US$4.25b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

PowerSchool Holdings shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (6.0), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.44 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that PowerSchool Holdings actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 133%, over the last 12 months. If it can keep walking that path it will be in a position to shed its debt with relative ease. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if PowerSchool Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, PowerSchool Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

We weren't impressed with PowerSchool Holdings's net debt to EBITDA, and its interest cover made us cautious. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was significantly redeeming. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that PowerSchool Holdings is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for PowerSchool Holdings you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether PowerSchool Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.