Stock Analysis

PagerDuty (PD): Evaluating the Stock’s Valuation Following Its New AI Agent Suite Launch and Growth Initiatives

PagerDuty (PD) has just launched an end-to-end AI agent suite, with the goal of helping businesses handle digital incidents more efficiently. Early users report resolution times improving by up to 50%, which could draw greater investor attention.

See our latest analysis for PagerDuty.

PagerDuty’s wave of product innovation, along with recent leadership moves in Asia-Pacific, has energized sentiment even if the share price return is still down 10.4% year-to-date. After a tough 12 months where the total shareholder return slipped 11.4%, recent improvement, such as a 9.3% gain over the past quarter, suggests momentum may finally be gathering for the stock as the market responds to its new AI capabilities.

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That leaves a key question for investors. As PagerDuty’s innovations drive improving sentiment, is today’s share price a bargain, or is the market already factoring in all the expected upside from its new AI strategy?

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Most Popular Narrative: 15.7% Undervalued

PagerDuty closed at $16.13, with the most widely followed narrative suggesting its fair value stands at $19.14. This represents a notable margin above where shares currently trade. This perspective positions the company’s evolving digital platform as a significant lever for future growth, setting up a major underlying catalyst.

The rapid growth in usage and complexity of digital infrastructure, especially within AI-native and large enterprise customers, alongside record platform utilization (over 25% year-over-year growth) points to rising demand for PagerDuty's core incident management and automation offerings, which can drive strong future recurring revenue as digital transformation accelerates globally.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see what’s behind this bullish narrative? Analysts predict a dramatic swing as revenue accelerates and margins expand. But there’s a surprising set of financial assumptions that drive this higher price target. Eager to uncover what could power this next chapter? The details might challenge your expectations.

Result: Fair Value of $19.14 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent revenue volatility from usage-based pricing and fierce competition could quickly dampen optimism if growth or profitability targets fail to materialize.

Find out about the key risks to this PagerDuty narrative.

Build Your Own PagerDuty Narrative

If you see this story differently or want to dive deeper into the numbers yourself, you can build your own narrative in just minutes. Do it your way

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding PagerDuty.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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