Let's talk about the popular ServiceNow, Inc. (NYSE:NOW). The company's shares received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NYSE over the last few months, increasing to US$614 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$456. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether ServiceNow's current trading price of US$478 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at ServiceNow’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
Check out our latest analysis for ServiceNow
What's the opportunity in ServiceNow?
The stock is currently trading at US$478 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 25% compared to my intrinsic value of $381.98. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that ServiceNow’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
Can we expect growth from ServiceNow?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for ServiceNow. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? NOW’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe NOW should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on NOW for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for NOW, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
If you'd like to know more about ServiceNow as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for ServiceNow you should know about.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:NOW
ServiceNow
Provides cloud-based solution for digital workflows in the North America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Asia Pacific, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with high growth potential.
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