Why Fair Isaac Corporation (NYSE:FICO) Could Be Worth Watching

Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Fair Isaac Corporation (NYSE:FICO). The company's stock saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NYSE, rising to highs of US$2,382 and falling to the lows of US$1,815. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Fair Isaac's current trading price of US$1,874 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Fair Isaac’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for Fair Isaac

What Is Fair Isaac Worth?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to our valuation model. It’s trading around 18.26% above our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Fair Isaac today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $1584.28, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Fair Isaac’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will Fair Isaac generate?

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Fair Isaac's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 96%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in FICO’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on FICO, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about Fair Isaac as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. At Simply Wall St, we found 2 warning signs for Fair Isaac and we think they deserve your attention.

If you are no longer interested in Fair Isaac, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.