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Avalara Valuation

Is AVLR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AVLR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AVLR ($93.48) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($120.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AVLR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AVLR?

Key metric: As AVLR is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AVLR. This is calculated by dividing AVLR's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AVLR's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio10.5x
SalesUS$789.43m
Market CapUS$8.28b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AVLR's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AVLR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.2x
DOCU DocuSign
5.7x6.1%US$16.0b
U Unity Software
4.6x1.4%US$8.7b
XM Qualtrics International
7.2x12.5%US$11.0b
COUP Coupa Software
7.5x16.0%US$6.1b
AVLR Avalara
10.5x19.8%US$8.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AVLR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (10.5x) compared to the peer average (6.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AVLR's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

80 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VYX NCR Voyix
0.6x-23.2%US$2.04b
PGY Pagaya Technologies
0.7x15.8%US$645.96m
XPER Xperi
0.8x1.8%US$387.78m
0.5x1.1%US$371.08m
AVLR 10.5xIndustry Avg. 5.1xNo. of Companies80PS048121620+
80 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AVLR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (10.5x) compared to the US Software industry average (4x)


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AVLR's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AVLR PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio10.5x
Fair PS Ratio7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AVLR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (10.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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